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The new export orders index from S&P Global's PMI business surveys tracks foreign demand for both goods and services. In a manufacturing company, goods exports are readily quantified as those to be shipped to non-domestic customers. After the initial pandemic downturn in deman...
Latest 12 months wholesale price inflation ran 11%. Walmart and Target have big 2Q earnings misses. Oops! Retail demand does not seem to be the problem. In a market where computers and ETFs have no discernment, everything goes on sale. Retail may be uniquely advantaged when it...
Wednesday’s sharp drop in the S&P 500 Index left the U.S. equity benchmark within a hair’s breadth of a bear market. Over the last century in the US, these episodes - defined as a stock market decline of at least 20% - have been relatively brief, lasting on average l...
There is no shortage of reasons for inflation’s push higher this year – commodity shortages due to the war in Ukraine, continued demand for housing amidst strong fundamentals, and low inventory and fresh lockdowns in China creating new waves of supply chain issues. Reces...
Jobless claims have continued to tick higher, with this week’s reading rising to 218K, an increase of 21K versus last week’s print which was revised back below 200K to 197K. Historically, unadjusted claims have fallen week-over-week more than three-quarters of the time i...
Recession risks are rising, with a European recession, oil embargo risks, and China’s zero-Covid uncertainties adding to Fed rate hikes as headwinds. China’s risks are multi-layered and hard for markets to discount. In our view, IMF officials are much more precise in...
A recession is not two-quarters of negative GDP. The US economy is not in a recession today but is on a pre-recessionary path. The labor market will determine if the US economy falls into a recession in the next 6-8 months. The risk of a recession is rising with each passing d...
The primary concern for the public is by far inflation, not recession risk, and not the risk of a bear market in stocks given news headlines as a gauge of importance. The prior tightening seen in financial markets (10-yr UST yield jump) will likely weigh on future growth as measured b...
Concerns about inflation adversely impacting the consumer and corporate profitability appeared to drive the weakness. The consumer staples and consumer discretionary sectors led today’s decline, trading down around 5% and 6%, respectively. Given the compounding uncertainty ...
Don't be fooled by Avnet's below-average 2%+ dividend yield on offer. Focus more on the growth potential, which is compelling in this play. Sales growth, ROIC, and growing margins all point to a strong total return in Avnet stock. For further details see: Avnet: Excellen...
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2024-04-30 12:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-20 18:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-19 13:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...