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Summary For a fourth consecutive month, the S&P Global Market Intelligence forecast of 2023 global economic growth has been revised upward. Global consumer price inflation eased from a peak of 8.3% year on year (y/y) in September 2022 to an estimated 7.5% in January. The global ...
Summary In this post, I will focus on trend lines in profitability at companies in 2022, with the intent of addressing multiple questions. While absolute profits are a useful measure of profitability, you have to scale profits to a common scaling variable, to compare companies of differ...
Summary Global activity contracted at a shallower rate in the first month of 2023 according to the JPMorgan Global PMI. Consumer services clearly showed a more marked expansion in January compared to consumer goods. Financial services fared the worst amongst the industries tracked a...
Summary America and the world keep dodging recessions, like they did last year. The IMF just raised its 2023 global growth rate projection to 2.9% (from 2.7% last October), and they raised their U.S. GDP projection from +1.0% to +1.4% now. A 1.4% growth rate is not very exciting, but it...
Summary The Bank of Japan looks set to change its ultra-loose policy as inflation takes root. We see spillover risks to global yields, risk appetite and Japanese stocks. Global stocks fell last week and U.S. Treasury yields rose across the curve as markets partly priced out Federal Rese...
Summary For global equity investors, what’s important is to identify broad trajectories of growth and inflation rates, and then to forecast turning points, or changes in those trajectories. Olga Bitel, Global Equity Strategist, and Hugo Scott‐Gall, portfolio manager and co...
Summary Developed economies remain the main source of the unusual outperformance of employment relative to output. An easing of global supply chain constraints has also helped encourage many businesses to raise their capacity expansion plans, notably in the US and Eurozone. Optimism...
Summary Global manufacturing supply chains continued to show signs of healing in January which, combined with falling demand for factory inputs, points to weaker industrial price inflation in coming months. The number of reported supply chain delays fell for a ninth successive month in ...
Summary For several months, we have said that a slowing of inflation could provide a temporary tailwind to equity markets, but that weakening growth will eventually hit them with a stronger headwind. Tumbling PPI suggests that companies are starting to struggle to pass on rising costs. ...
Summary The long-awaited downturn in global trade will take place in 2023. Supply chain realignments that have been years in the making will begin to take effect. Government policies launched in 2022 will bear fruit in 2023 and include subsidies for semiconductors and automotive electri...
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2024-07-10 19:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-30 13:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-02 02:45:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...