Rates Spark: Next Week Should Be More Eventful For Euro Rates
2025-07-18 04:15:00 ET
Data surprises more likely a driver next week than ECB surprises
For euro rates, this week turned out to be quite uneventful, but next week should bring more for markets to work with. For one, we have the ECB meeting on July 24. Although we don’t see a cut , we will be listening for hints about the path forward. So far, the ECB has carefully staged each cut, with no surprises on the day of the actual meetings. Markets do see another 25bp cut, but have not yet decided on the September or December meeting. This means the ECB will have some work to do if it wants to orchestrate its next move. Having said that, this will hinge on Trump’s eventual tariff levels and their impact, something we - and the ECB - can only speculate about for the time being....
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Rates Spark: Next Week Should Be More Eventful For Euro Rates
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