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Summary To us, last Friday’s bloodbath signals that high volatility is back. Equity tends to suffer under high volatility. Furthermore, our view is that such high volatility could persist due to several fundamental forces at play, ranging from inflation, to interest rates, ...
Summary In July, the number of layoffs and discharges dipped for the second month in a row by a smidgen and remained in the record-low range in the data going back to the year 2000. The 1.398 million layoffs in July were down by 42,000 from July last year and down by 428,000, or b...
Summary The outperformance of either "value" or "growth" tends to reverse around recessions. In an economic expansion, an investment theme is often driven to excess. In the next expansion, the focus tends to shift to what has been underinvested in. While the commodity bull run...
Summary Despite the recent outperformance of US-based companies and US investors’ home-country bias, we believe investors will still benefit from proper diversification for a well-balanced portfolio. In countries with less-efficient markets, there can be greater investment ...
Summary The Consumer Confidence Index from The Conference Board rose in August, the first increase following three consecutive monthly declines. The composite index increased by 7.9 points, or 8.3 percent to 103.2. From a year ago, the index is still down 10.4 percent. Both co...
Summary The latest inflation data suggests that although the rate of rising has slowed, inflation is not going away just yet as the post-pandemic and war in Ukraine era evolves. Therefore, even though there are still reasons to own certain stocks in this market, the pickings may b...
Summary On January 3, 2001, the Fed chair cut the Federal Funds Rate from 6.5% to 6.0% in response to a declining stock market and weak economic activity. Today, the stock market has been in rally mode since June 16, largely on the prospect of the Fed implementing a much-awaited p...
Summary Chairman Powell kicked off the Kansas City Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium on Friday and sent a strong, clear message. First, price stability and getting inflation back to target is the Fed’s prime responsibility, and that goal is the FOMC’s ȁ...
Summary On Friday, the markets digested comments from Federal Reserve chairman, Jerome Powell that came from the Jackson Hole economic symposium. Based on his comments, the Fed Chair left little doubt the push higher in short-term interest rates will continue. In other words, ...
Summary NGDP is a much better indicator than inflation, but still not perfect. If we assume the key macro problem is business cycles created by nominal shocks interacting with sticky wages, then aggregate wage income may be a better cyclical indicator than NGDP. A mild slowdow...
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2024-01-18 02:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-02 12:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...