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Summary Interest rate policy is getting closer to a step-down. More Federal Reserve officials are focused on the risks of sharply rising rates. Inflation can fall rapidly next year due to the lagging effects of rate hikes, concurrent global tightening, and healing supply chain...
Summary The October S&P Global flash PMI surveys present a picture of the economy at increased risk of contracting in the fourth quarter at the same time that inflationary pressures remain stubbornly high. The service sector has seen a markedly worse performance than manufactu...
Summary The "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos is hinting at a lower rate hike in December, perhaps 50 basis points instead of the prevailing 75. There are many reasons to slow the pace of monetary tightening including economic growth weakness and financial instability cropping up in g...
Summary On Friday, Treasury futures had a big reversal, closing up on the session after trading very weak in the overnight session, when you look at 10-year Treasuries. The 30-year bond had a very weak rebound and ended up down rather significantly on the day. This is a bit puzzli...
Summary We can’t prevent the government or the Fed from implementing inflationary policies, so we might as well get used to inflation and learn to profit from it. There are ways to profit from inflation without selling stocks. Not only can we buy shares of fossil fuel compa...
Summary The Q4 Outlook from our colleagues in Equities suggests that a further 20% could come off both the S&P 500 Index and its underlying companies’ earnings before this cycle reaches its trough. In this environment, we think there is an attractive opportunity set in ...
Summary The S&P 500 is up by around 7.5% since it hit another tradable bottom at 3,500. However, you may be late to the party if you're looking for more downside going into the Fed meeting. The 75 basis point move is probably fully priced in by now, and strong earnings are...
Summary One of the things we are watching to help us know when it’s time to pay attention is this current range on the daily chart of stock indexes. Energy’s strength is clear, with 0% of stocks in the sector near 52-week lows, and 100% of those stocks in intermediat...
Summary I have said for weeks that the Fed needs to slow the pace of its tightening campaign. Powell apparently decided last week that the market was taking things too far. Corporate earnings are being released for the quarter and, so far, they aren’t that bad. It w...
Summary Fed Dot Plot told us that they intend to take short rates to 4.6% by early next year. Highest expectations for Recession since Apr 2020 and March 2009 (stock market bottom was already in in both cases). The “pain trade” is up because no one is positioned ...
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2024-01-18 02:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-02 12:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...