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Inflation is sustained monetary debasement - or money printing - that wrecks consumer prices. Investments and activity will flow from the financial to the real. Commodities can tell us something about the underlying aggregate opinion of those doing the investing. Would it really s...
Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in August for the Global Market Index. Sharpe ratios in global markets generally are elevated. GMI represents a theoretical benchmark for the “optimal” portfolio. For further details see: Major Asset Classes | Aug...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market (GMI) ticked up in August, reaching an annualized 6.1%, slightly above the previous month’s estimate. Despite the comparatively high GMI forecast, the current estimate remains well below the index’s realized risk premium fo...
The winning streak for American shares rolled on in August. US stocks rose for a seventh straight month and posted the strongest gain for the major asset classes. US bonds also lost ground in August. The Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index slipped 0.2%, the first monthly decline for the be...
Following the economic disruption of the COVID-19 pandemic and the unprecedented stimulus response, supply bottlenecks and a rebound in demand have been a feature of 2021. We observe that a diversified portfolio approach has had the highest correlation to upside inflation and the leas...
Falling growth does not mean the economy is contracting. It merely means that the rate of increase is slowing. How much it slows is something we can't know yet, but it is exactly what we've been expecting for months as we watched bond yields drop. One reason I think the current enviro...
After the pandemic’s initial spending splurge, the bill is due, and global growth is mean-reverting again. Treasury yields are confirming the disinflationary ride as we thought that they should. Similar trends are unfolding in the great hot north, with Canadian government b...
Copper, like lumber, had rocketed upward beginning last fall - representing, for many, the leading edge of the inflationary wave sure to follow. This would only have been the case if real inflation was ever the reason for price behavior all around. More and more it is apparent this wa...
My reading of the current environment is relatively clear; both the longer term and shorter-term leading growth indicators are pointing toward the heightened possibility of slowing cyclical growth. As a result, these downward trends suggest investors ought to be rotating out of the re...
The New Normal looks a lot like the Old Normal in that it is unknown and ever changing. All we can do is observe the present with clear eyes. For now, the economic outlook is still pretty good. It isn’t the boom everyone was expecting a few months ago, and it probably wonȁ...
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UBS AG Jersey ZC SP ETRACS REDEEM 31/10/2039 USD 25 Company Name:
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UBS AG announced on Tuesday the Call Settlement Amounts for the below eight ETNs (the “Securities”), as set forth in the table below. Table-1 * The table above provides a hyperlink to the relevant prospectus supplement for each of the Securities. DJCI, FUD, UAG...
UBS AG announced today that it will redeem all of the outstanding securities in each of the eleven series set forth in the following table (collectively, the “Series A ETNs”). UBS expects to deliver redemption notices with respect to each of the Series A ETNs to holders of...
UBS AG announced today the final results of its previously announced voluntary exchange offers (“Exchange Offers”) for five ETRACS Series A ETNs (collectively the “Series A ETNs”) for corresponding ETRACS Series B ETNs (collectively, the “Series B ETNsȁ...