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The value factor, after a long drought, is showing signs of life. To be fair, not every deeply discounted market corner has rallied. The 5-year return is a handy tool for sifting through a wide array of assets in search of high expected return. For further details see: D...
This morning we learned that US retail spending fell 1.3% in May (more than the -.80 expected). Commodities have been sensing the shift, with the price of many key inputs like lumber (-42%), steel rebar (-18%) and copper (-9%) down sharply from recent peaks. Increases in oil, gas ...
The global commodities complex continued to receive strong investor support over the past month as the world economy entered unfamiliar territory. All forms of transportation are experiencing delays (some intermittently), including ocean freight, air freight, trucking and rail. Ri...
Like a lot of parts of the global economy, housing/wood/material each saw a drop in both supply and demand given last year’s recession. Once beyond the commodity-induced price effects, it becomes clear the economy is settling back into the same disinflationary circumstances or ...
Much of last week’s economic focus was on the inflation report. Inflation was indeed pretty hot year over year, but that wasn’t unexpected. With CPI printing at 5% year over year, bond yields fell. But these are small moves, and the trend for rates is still up for now. ...
U.S. equity markets rallied to fresh record highs this past week as long-term interest rates retreated despite inflation data showing the highest annual rise in consumer prices in decades. A seemingly insatiable bid for Treasury Bonds - a counterintuitive trend that some analysts like...
On the surface, conditions in the US look pretty fantastic these days. Prices for lots of goods and services are soaring. Job openings are at record highs. Does the historically low level of real risk-free yields on TIPS suggest that US economic growth will be anemic at best for as fa...
We expect the price of services to join the bull market in commodities soon. Bitcoin is considered an inflation hedge and store of value due to its guaranteed scarcity. Could Bitcoin turn on a dime and head higher? Bitcoin may be a paradise for traders comfortable with big swi...
We got another disappointing employment report last week. The US economy added 559,000 jobs in May, which was below expectations and disappointing. There are certainly remaining supply-side issues in the economy, which is what we should expect in a recovery from a supply shock. The pr...
U.S. equity markets flirted with fresh record-highs this week as concerns regarding economic "overheating" cooled after employment data showed that job growth fell short of expectations for the second straight month. Finishing on the cusp of fresh record-highs, the S&P 500 rallied...
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2024-06-11 00:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-20 09:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-10 09:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...