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As has been noted, the surge in goods demand is part of the story for why shortages and price pressures have mounted. Inbound traffic is above trend, at least as measured by 12-month centered moving average. On the other hand, outbound traffic has been off-trend for years. F...
October data for the labor market and the industrial sector continue to paint a bright profile of recovery in absolute and relative terms vs. previous economic expansions. The good news is that the labor market is still rebounding at the strongest pace relative to previous US expansio...
A few months ago, I drew attention to the fact that the Nasdaq was showing signs of increasing dispersion under the surface, a warning regarding the relative health of the uptrend. I am referring to a signal called the Hindenburg Omen that is triggered when the index sits at or near a...
Every 3 months, we take a snapshot of the expectations for future earnings in the S&P 500 at approximately the midpoint of the current quarter. Since our last update three months ago, Standard and Poor's has updated their projections to indicate stronger earnings growth going into...
A deep dive into the relationship between the Fed's QE programs and wealth concentration. A look at political and macro risk as it relates to the Fed's mandate and fiscal policy. My long-term investment positioning. For further details see: QE, Wealth Concentration, And ...
Over the past two years, the Russell 2000 Index and S&P 500 Index are both up ~50%. One of the primary uses for Index options is to hedge specific portfolio risks. Individuals and institutions typically have long exposure to equities. Between 1980 and 2021 (YTD) on average the...
“Value” hasn’t outperformed “Growth” on a wide scale since 2016, but is doing so this year. One of the few asset classes with anything close to an appealing 10-year return is gold (GLD). At some point, the S&P 500 will correct 15%-20% (which ...
The belief, currently, is that the massive reservoir of liquidity from both Governments and Central Banks can keep valuations inflated. Technical analysis does not predict the future. It is the study of historical price action, which is the purest representation of the psychology of m...
Stocks love free money, and with the Fed tapering starting in December, it is likely that traders will hang on to the hope that the infrastructure bill’s money will start trickling into the economy quickly. I recently recommended shares of Matson Inc. (MATX), a Honolulu-based l...
We see price pressures to persist in 2022, mostly driven by the unusual restart dynamics. Eventually, we see a higher inflation regime than pre-Covid. U.S. consumer price index (CPI) jumped more than expected in October, bringing annual inflation rate to 6.2%, the highest level in thr...
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Transamerica Plans to Close and Liquidate Five Exchange-Traded Funds PR Newswire BALTIMORE , March 9, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Consistent with the recommendation of Transamerica Asset Management, Inc., the adviser to the series of the Transamerica ETF Trust, th...
DENVER , April 24, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica executives will have the honor of ringing the renowned closing bell at the New York Stock Exchange on Wednesday, April 24 to recognize the successful launch of DeltaShares® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, the fifth DeltaSh...
DENVER , March 21, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica Asset Management, Inc. today announced the launch of the DeltaShares ® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, an expansion of the DeltaShares by Transamerica suite of strategic beta exchange-traded funds (ETFs) introduced in Au...