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Equity investors have generally reacted positively to the prospect of higher Fed policy rates. On average, FOMC members see themselves hiking rates to around 2% this year. That implies a 25 bps rate hike at each of the remaining six meetings in 2022 and possibly even one 50 bps hike. ...
The phenomenal rise in the US monetary inflation rate from early-2020 to early-2021 fuelled a speculative mania in the stock market and set in motion an economic boom. There remains some doubt as to whether or not the latest US economic boom is over. There are other measures, such...
Stocks are recovering in the face of soaring bond yields, taking their cue from a strengthening economy. Investor sentiment is a contrarian buy signal. I expect the yield curve to steepen as short rates peak and long rate inch higher. The S&P 500 should recover all of its ...
Investors should keep an eye on the spread between earnings yields and Treasury yields. Market expectations are also important to monitor. Are there any alternatives for investors to park their money other than stocks? For further details see: How To Tell When Stocks Are...
There is still plenty of negative news and reasons to not believe that the bulls are in charge. Markets often bottom on the most negative of news. I still need to see 5 waves up to convince me with a high probability that we have begun the rally to 5500SPX. For further detai...
High-frequency economic data are important because of the insight generated about the economy and the possible impact on policy. In the bond market, the Chinese 10-year premium has collapsed. It last finished above 100 bp on March 7. Bedeviled by Covid and natural disasters, the J...
Global stocks jumped last week as the market digested higher yields. Are there telltale signs of exhaustion in the recent bounce off the February lows? Seasonality could play a pivotal role as this mid-term year progresses. For further details see: Weekly S&P 500 Cha...
The stock market rose for its second week in a row even though the Federal Reserve increased interest rates and is promising to raise them several more times this year. More and more indicators can be interpreted that the Federal Reserve is not really being restrictive, but actually i...
It's been some time since the Fed commenced a serious tightening cycle. Previous moves to raise rates progressed gingerly, so as not to risk upsetting the cherished stock market. The financial sector was expanding aggressively. Broker/Dealer assets expanded 19% in 1991, 20% in 1992, a...
As technical traders, we look exclusively at the price action to provide specific clues as to the current trend or a potential change in trend. The current resistance for the SPY is the 475 top that happened around January 6, 2022. This top was 212.5% of March 23, 2020, low that was p...
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Transamerica Plans to Close and Liquidate Five Exchange-Traded Funds PR Newswire BALTIMORE , March 9, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Consistent with the recommendation of Transamerica Asset Management, Inc., the adviser to the series of the Transamerica ETF Trust, th...
DENVER , April 24, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica executives will have the honor of ringing the renowned closing bell at the New York Stock Exchange on Wednesday, April 24 to recognize the successful launch of DeltaShares® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, the fifth DeltaSh...
DENVER , March 21, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica Asset Management, Inc. today announced the launch of the DeltaShares ® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, an expansion of the DeltaShares by Transamerica suite of strategic beta exchange-traded funds (ETFs) introduced in Au...