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A broad range of data suggests recession risks in the U.S. are mounting. Stocks currently remain under selling pressure due to a variety of issues causing a repricing of valuations. Investing during a recession can be dangerous, particularly when elevated valuations are present ac...
Three, new, indicators based on the amount of buying in bearish ETFs are signaling a strong, “risk on” moment. They are based on the “theory of contrary opinion,” the theory that says stock prices reach bottom when most investors are bearish and are expecti...
The recent unusually large swing in household wealth is not getting the attention it deserves as another recession risk. According to the St. Louis Federal Reserve, largely as a result of surging equity and home prices, household wealth increased from $116 trillion at the end of 2019 ...
The second quarter of 2022 was another brutal one for fixed-income instruments, with yields rising across the board. The story was even worse for tax-free munis. The Fed’s hiking, coupled with their sharply more hawkish rhetoric, has spooked all bond markets since March and thr...
Commodities (used in the production of goods) are considered a leading indicator of inflation. Recessions are a normal corrective phase of the economic cycle, but politicians, central banks, most financial advisors, and economists never see them coming. Central bank policies can h...
Chair Powell laid out in unequivocal terms last week that the Fed’s primary goal is to reduce inflation pressures, and the policymaker’s commitment is “unconditional.”. The May Leading Economic Indicators Index posted its third consecutive monthly decline. ...
Whether or not we will have a recession is no longer a question. The recession is already here. The only question is, how deep the recession will become. Q1 GDP posted a reading of -1.4%, and the Atlanta Fed GDP Now estimate for Q2 is 0.0%. This means the US economy shrank during the ...
We expect elevated inflation to continue into 2023 due to the lagged impact of food supply disruption and elevated energy costs. Should a recession occur, its scale is likely to be limited by the reduced number of negative feedback loops. Consumers enter this slowdown with a large...
We remain cautious in equities, but in fixed income, investors now have more yield and credit spread to work with. We think that the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes for this cycle are becoming increasingly priced into the yield curve. Our fixed income team has stress-tested fo...
Growth is slowing, but it’s slowing to trend at this point. So not to zero, not to negative, but something like the trend that we’ve experienced over the last couple of decades. So, if you’re looking for a great way to play inflation, look to the small cap asset c...
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Northvale, NJ - ( NewMediaWire ) - February 7, 2022 - ADM Tronics Unlimited, Inc. (OTCQB: ADMT) announced that a study recently conducted by North Carolina State University (“NCSU”) on the Calmer Canine non-invasive electrotherapy device, demonstrated conclusively that it is an ...
Northvale, NJ - ( NewMediaWire ) - November 09, 2021 - ADM Tronics Unlimited, Inc. (OTCQB - ADMT) has entered into a marketing and distribution agreement (the “Agreement”) for the Vet-Sonotron® veterinary therapy device with SBLP Capital LLC, (“SBLP”). Un...