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The ECB is finally taking the measure of financial fragmentation risk in the eurozone. In addition to existing tools, it is working on a new instrument to prevent further widening of sovereign spreads. We'll await more details, but the announcement has likely changed the trajectory of...
As inflation readings around the world come in well above targets, many central banks have sped up their plans to tighten monetary policy after years of historically low interest rates and bond purchase programs. However, the European Central Bank (ECB) is notably absent from the list...
According to the NBS last week, the Chinese CPI dropped 0.2% month-over-month. Compared to May 2021, the index has increased just 2.1%, the same year-over-year rate as April. Unlike what it looks from the perspective of US or European CPIs, there’s no mistaking the downturn acr...
Before the supply-constrained economy that emerged after Covid, and the war in Ukraine, attempts of a sustained rise in global short-term interest rates had to contend with the fact that at least two major central banks, the ECB and the BOJ were stuck in the mud at the zero bound. Now...
According to the latest estimates from deStatis, retail sales crashed by 5.4% in April 2022 when compared to March; nearly identical m/m results from the prior April. Only this time, no case count conundrum or overstimulated government in sight. No one can blame the pandemic for this ...
Quite frankly, new business creation is occurring in many parts of the world. We have observed new businesses being created at an annual growth rate greater than 15% since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada, France, Japan and the United States. The Economist estimates th...
A long-run real return is what you get over and above long-run inflation. In Europe, it's still negative. In the US, it's barely positive. Lower market yields of late have come from an easing in inflation expectations. But with real rates still so low, there is a natural pressure ...
The new export orders index from S&P Global's PMI business surveys tracks foreign demand for both goods and services. In a manufacturing company, goods exports are readily quantified as those to be shipped to non-domestic customers. After the initial pandemic downturn in deman...
Vonovia has seen significant declines in its share price for the past few weeks, pushing its yield to above 5%. The market isn’t happy with Vonovia's new, more defensive approach. We disagree with that take, however, and view Vonovia as undervalued with a now-30% upside. It...
From copper to iron and aluminum, industrial commodities have been exhibiting a rather synchronized setback going back to the end of March, start of April. This despite supply bottlenecks and production shortfalls which continue to plague each. As with Eurobond prices and credit s...
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WisdomTree, Inc. (NYSE: WT), a global financial innovator, today announced plans to close and liquidate five WisdomTree ETFs. The ETFs will no longer accept creation orders after Friday, October 20, 2023. The final day of trading on the ETFs’ respective exchanges will also be Friday, O...