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2023-09-07 05:30:00 ET Summary Growth of business activity in the US came close to stalling in August, according to the final reading of S&P Global's US PMI. Looking at the broad split of the data, manufacturing output slipped back into decline after a brief resumption of grow...
2023-09-07 00:45:00 ET Summary Are central banks at a crossroads on rates? Why there may be more options for income currently. Are markets being too optimistic about the economy? Even as signs of economic weakness emerge, central banks are pledging to stay th...
2023-09-06 23:50:00 ET Summary The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow is looking for nearly 6.0 percent annualized third-quarter real GDP growth. Is the coast clear of recession (for now), or is this the last gasp of strength? Monetary policy works with long and variable lags – no...
2023-09-06 23:30:00 ET Summary The primary reason why sentiment might be low is because sentiment tends to lag. If you review past recessions sentiment will always decline during a recession. Real wages tricked us on the upside, then depressed us on the downside. Real wages su...
2023-09-06 13:45:00 ET Summary September and October are infamous for major bouts of volatility striking markets. Identifying the possible catalysts for volatility is the first step to staying ahead of it. Our team also spotted unusual activity in the embattled Real Estate sec...
2023-09-06 11:10:00 ET Summary The August jobs report showed that the US economy is slowing, but it’s still in very good condition. Manufacturing new orders in the eurozone fell to one of the lower levels on record in August. As China’s post-pandemic economic reo...
2023-09-06 10:00:00 ET Summary Labor market activity in the US appears to be softening, according to recent jobs data. The three-month moving average of new job creation is showing a visible slowing trend. The unemployment rate rose to 3.8% in August, but this was due to a sur...
2023-09-06 03:15:00 ET Summary We rationalise why US longer tenor rates are rising – basically, the curve is inverted and getting used to discounting structurally higher rates. If so, reversion to a normal curve must mean dis-inversion from the back end. When something ...
2023-09-06 03:15:00 ET Summary On the interest rate front, the Federal funds rate is now close to systematic benchmarks that have historically been consistent with prevailing core inflation, nominal GDP growth, and unemployment. By dropping interest rates to just 1% after the coll...
2023-09-05 13:55:00 ET Summary Why the Fed may have one more hike up its sleeve. U.S. economic resiliency continues to confuse market watchers. Why the bond market has been getting the outlook for rates wrong. From upcoming central bank meetings to key economic data,...
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2024-07-31 04:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 04:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...