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2023-09-14 07:00:00 ET Summary The jobs market remains relatively robust and is neither too hot nor too cold. Unemployment is near cyclical lows and wage growth is cooling but remains relatively high. This will continue to pressure policy makers to remain hawkish and likely lead t...
2023-09-14 05:20:00 ET Summary A hike from the ECB today may have limited impact, as a total of 25bp of tightening is already fully priced before year-end. Raising rates today would probably be largely interpreted as pulling forward that final hike, but the appetite to price in mo...
2023-09-14 04:45:00 ET Summary The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.63% in August, the largest month-to-month increase since June 2022. Despite ongoing adjustments to health insurance CPI, core CPI and core services CPI accelerated. Fuel prices, particularly gasoline,...
2023-09-14 03:00:00 ET Summary While the majority of the “easy” move lower has been made in inflation, there is still a significant tailwind that will keep inflation from spiking significantly higher. The combination of shelter disinflation with a commodity boom will...
2023-09-13 21:22:00 ET Summary In August 2023, the AIER Everyday Price Index rose 0.87 percent, lifting the index from 285.2 to 287.7. The month-to-month headline CPI number rose 0.6 percent versus 0.2 percent seen the previous month. With the release of the data, market-impli...
2023-09-13 13:56:00 ET Summary What strong jobs data may mean for the Bank of Canada. The impact of robust immigration could mean for Canada's economy in the long term. A hike may not be likely, but the BOC's inflation fight isn't over yet. Canada's latest jobs data ...
2023-09-13 13:00:00 ET Summary Some analysts who favor one or two indicators to forecast US recessions have had a rough year. For now, the probability that a recession has started, or is about to start, remains low, based on another indicator featured in The US Business Cycle Risk...
2023-09-13 12:19:00 ET Summary At June 30th, 2023, the S&P 500 was priced to return 1.65%/year over the next ten years. Given the rally since then, that return has risen to 2.03%/year. Currently the 10-year Treasury yields 4.29% [bond-equivalent yield, add 0.09% to annualize]....
2023-09-13 11:30:00 ET Summary US August inflation data shows a modest upside surprise, with headline CPI at 0.6% and core prices at 0.3%. The Fed is likely to keep one final rate hike in their forecasts despite keeping rates on hold in September. Risks to inflation include hi...
2023-09-13 02:45:00 ET Summary The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed steadily over the past two years. But we believe fixed-income investors should be prepared for lower yields ahead. Treasury yields have spent the past year in a state of flux - rising and falling on mixed econom...
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2024-07-31 04:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 04:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...