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2024-01-12 04:15:00 ET Summary Core services account for over 61% of the Consumer Price Index, and that’s where inflation has gotten entrenched. Core CPI accelerated to 0.31% in December from October, the second month in a row of acceleration and fastest increase since Sept...
2024-01-12 01:30:00 ET Summary While recession continues to be a base case of 55%, the odds of a soft landing are getting better. As you near a cycle peak, the economy transitions quickly from strong job formation to outright losses. The Fed has the latitude to cut rates and, ...
2024-01-11 11:20:00 ET Summary In the wake of the Federal Reserve's dovish shift in December, financial markets had moved to price an interest rate cut as soon as March. However, the tight jobs market and today's firmer-than-expected inflation numbers suggest this is unlikely, bar...
2024-01-11 07:00:00 ET Summary The article discusses the current state of the economy and the potential for a recession due to the lagged effects of tight monetary policy. The Sahm Rule, which predicts the start of a recession based on the unemployment rate, suggests a recession m...
2024-01-11 03:41:00 ET Summary Economic growth is now cooling as global monetary tightening gradually takes its toll. Most central bankers have now adopted a more dovish stance, and rate cuts are likely in 2024. Rate cuts failing to materialize may drive extended U.S. Treasury...
2024-01-10 10:32:00 ET Summary There’s a lot riding on tomorrow’s US consumer inflation report for December for markets, which are pricing in relatively upbeat news. Economists expect a bit of a mixed bag. For the year-over-year headline data, consumer inflation is p...
2024-01-10 02:35:00 ET Summary This is a hyper rate-sensitive environment given the aggressive tightening by many Western central banks. I’m optimistic that policymakers will remain vigilant in 2024 and quickly react to any issues that arise from their past tightening. ...
2024-01-09 13:25:00 ET Summary Amid slower economic growth and more benign monetary policy, we believe that this year bond prices will be driven less by inflation and central bank policy and more by economic growth dynamics. Rather than seek to play the timing of interest rate red...
2024-01-08 22:35:00 ET Summary Many months ago it became abundantly clear that the Fed had extinguished the inflation fires that were stoked in 2020-21, and therefore lower interest rates were called for. More recently, we see that the economy has lost a lot of its forward momentu...
2024-01-08 21:34:00 ET Summary In the day-to-day, week-to-week movements of the markets, it is easy to forget that we are investing with a timeline measured in years, and for many investors, decades. Scientific advancements in recent years have been nothing short of amazing, but i...
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2024-07-11 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 04:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-10 14:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...