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2024-02-06 12:01:00 ET Summary In the spring of 2023, the bond market rallied sharply, effectively forecasting a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Strong economic news for fourth quarter GDP and January payrolls added to the view that growth remains resilient, and so rate cuts can ...
2024-02-06 10:45:00 ET Summary The FOMC weighed all the economic data and decided to make it clear they would most likely not cut interest rates in March. The Fed’s favorite inflation indicator, the core Personal Consumption Expenditure rate, has been under the Fed’s...
2024-02-06 09:12:00 ET Summary There were 5 Bank failures in 2023 with $548B in assets according to the FDIC – two of which sent the S&P to the lows for the year in March. China was expected to add to post-COVID reopening growth; however, the government cracked down on ...
2024-02-06 08:03:00 ET Summary US banks continue to tighten lending standards and expect loan quality to deteriorate with write-offs anticipated to rise through 2024. At the same time, loan demand continues to weaken. The economy performed very strongly through the second half...
2024-02-06 07:05:00 ET Summary The US economy is ok - credit spreads are still quite low, liquidity is still abundant, the dollar is still strong, inflation is still declining, and there are only a few indicators that suggest caution. Owning short-term risk-free assets today has b...
2024-02-06 00:20:00 ET Summary Bond yields didn't move all that much but what move there was, was down. People sold stocks and bought bonds because the odds of a rate cut in March fell during the press conference. The Fed doesn't know if inflation has peaked or whether this is...
2024-02-05 22:35:00 ET Summary It is normal to see huge swings in bonds and stocks on a day when the Fed Chairman releases his FOMC statement and holds a press conference. What is far from normal, however – although we have seen it occasionally – is to see a sharp se...
2024-02-04 04:15:00 ET Summary Absolute Return Partners is a London-based investment advisory business. Founded by Niels Jensen in 2002, it focuses on providing bespoke alternative investment solutions to institutional investors. In total, it manages over $600 million of assets across...
2024-02-04 02:12:00 ET Summary Instead of pivoting directly toward an easing bias, the Federal Open Market Committee opted for a wait-and-watch approach in January. Zillow’s observed rents are up 27% since January 2021, while PCE tenant and owner-occupied rent levels are up...
2024-02-03 08:45:00 ET Summary The employment data (released on Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics) was as you’d expect from an economy that is growing at a good pace. The acceleration can be seen in the three-month moving average, which irons out some of the month-to...
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2024-07-11 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 04:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-10 14:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...