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Many will disagree that the Fed has already hiked rates, but it has. Just by 5bp, and only techncial, but there is still an impact. Pricing the front end with the excess of liquidity is tough, but it still looks too low (in yield). The long end looks a bit lost now, having flatten...
Firms have turned to the European repo market amid an increase in volatility in the financial markets, which has encouraged participants to review their approach to risk. The increased use of European repo led the BrokerTec platform to post some significant milestones in May 2021. ...
On Wednesday, the FOMC released its June statement which only served to remind us that its members are powerless in the face of inflationary conditions. The Fed’s money-printing has continued apace, so much so that severe market distortions are reflecting it, even for those wit...
We formally neutralized the influence of two macro themes centered on global protectionism and Chinese growth. European populism was reduced as a significant headwind to valuation opportunities. With fewer headwinds, there may be a less obstructed path for price to gravitate towar...
IHS Markit's PMI business surveys showed the economic recovery gaining momentum in May as output growth accelerated to the fastest for 15 years. Although growth of new orders accelerated globally in May to reach the highest since 2006, employment growth slowed marginally compared to A...
As the dust settles, the implications of the ECB and Fed June meetings are subtle. EUR rates should be shielded to an extent from a hawkish Fed, but if the outlook deteriorates, long-end rates will continue falling. This is a bond market that refuses to bow to contemporaneous macr...
Last year's pandemic crisis U-trip took just 128 days - significantly less than the long-term average, despite a once-in-a-generation healthcare crisis. While the recovery speed has varied, the global economy is clearly on the mend. We believe that the next phase of the reopening/...
We had highlighted three risks to our base case, and the Fed managed to deliver on all three. The 5bp hike in the rate on excess reserves (from 10bp to 15bp) is being downplayed by the Fed as being just that - a technical move. The market reaction has been clear, but actually mute...
The US PPI, with updated estimates for May 2021 released by the BLS today, may have already peaked. Europe’s further lackluster HICP for April was confirmed on May 19, representing the most recent top in German bunds. Small wonder bond yields globally have ignored one huge ...
Since the beginning of the year, the ECB has stepped up the pace of its bond buying to around €80 billion per month over the past quarter and said it would continue to buy at an accelerated rate as conditions warrant. Inflation is more of an issue in the United States than in E...
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2024-07-11 02:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-30 13:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-10 14:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...