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2023-05-02 01:25:00 ET Summary Interest rates continue to drive markets, with central banks walking a fine line between taming inflation and avoiding recession. The Fed isn’t quite finished with the tightening cycle yet, even as the market remains optimistic that rates will...
2023-05-01 11:20:00 ET Summary After the gradual erosion in S&P 500 EPS and revenue “upside surprises” in 2022, Q1 ’23 is breaking the trend and EPS has come in much stronger than expected. If you simply watched “price action” you’d th...
2023-05-01 09:02:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 ended the week at 4169.48, rising 0.9% over its previous week's close. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool anticipates the Fed will hike the Federal Funds Rate by a quarter point to a target range of 5.00-5.25% at its upcoming meeting on 3 ...
2023-04-29 04:00:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 EPS upside surprise rate is way strong in Q1 ’23. There is only one sector that isn’t beating the estimates and that’s Real Estate with a -0.9% downside surprise rate. No question the bearish expectations head...
2023-04-29 02:20:00 ET Summary The problem with “conviction” is that it leads to various behavioral biases that interfere with portfolio returns over longer-term time horizons. The problem with having a strong “conviction” about some economic, political...
2023-04-27 03:11:54 ET Summary The historical record shows U.S. stock market performance following recessions hasn't always been bad. In fact, U.S. stocks have often done quite well soon after the onset of recessions. If the current time period ends up being classified as a re...
2023-04-26 22:55:00 ET Summary After taking a back seat to various flavors of small-cap and value factors earlier in 2023, the large-company growth risk factor is again leading the horse race, based on year-to-date returns for a set of ETF proxies through yesterday’s close (Apr...
2023-04-26 03:00:00 ET Summary With social trends and new legislation in the spotlight, investors can’t afford to ignore the risks to companies and investment performance. Unlike carbon footprints and governance standards, which can be easily compared across companies or se...
2023-04-26 01:47:00 ET Summary The change in core inflation during the two-year period following the beginning of a recession has averaged just -0.4%. Rate hikes have a disproportionate impact on interest-sensitive sectors such as housing and durable goods, but the effect on overa...
2023-04-25 11:41:00 ET Summary The month of April has seen the S&P 500 move within less than a 100-point range during regular sessions, adding only a few points more if one were to include overnight futures trading. It is absurd for the Fed to be hiking interest rates next wee...
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2024-06-11 05:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 05:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-18 08:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...