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The subsequent snapback in activity in the third quarter of 2020 was commensurate with the second-quarter contraction. Economic growth in 2021 is likely to be the strongest in many decades. Interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices set binding constraints on economic ou...
Inflation is going to remain relatively well-bounded. We will see a cyclical uptick in inflation this year. But from a longer-term perspective, there isn’t a meaningful risk of inflation breaking out significantly to the upside. Fiscal and monetary support are clearly two aspec...
January's inflation tally for Emerging Markets is pretty much complete, and it shows that upside surprises are on the rise. EM overseas remittances are alive and well - and doing much better than expected just several months ago. Remittances in most countries in our sample posted ...
Risk assets continued their historic run last week with EM equities and commodities leading the way. Bonds sold off as the 10-year Treasury note yield broke above 1.20% for the first time since the lows last spring. The 10-year TIPS yield closed the week at 1.02%, near the all-tim...
The "average, annual" returns of Emerging Markets and non-US investing have lagged that of the S&P 500 and large-cap growth for many years now. The weekly S&P 500 earnings update from this weekend shows positive revisions for forward quarters even though the largest names have...
Though history is often a good guide, it's important to recognize that markets can - and have - changed. If Value stocks are extremely cheap versus the market, it is necessarily the case that Growth stocks are very expensive. The goal of the backtest was to ensure that despite its...
Gold had a strong start to the year, moving to its monthly high of $1,959 per ounce on January 6. Reddit/WallStreetBets is the first black swan phenomenon since the COVID crash. Weighing the pros and cons, we believe history provides the best guide. For further details see: ...
I think we're not alone in being quite amazed by the resilience that the US market has shown following the very violent selloff in February and March. One of our big themes, digital innovation, continues to lead, transforming what I would call the more traditional or, sort of, classic...
Emerging Asian equities outpaced broader EMs in January. East Asian markets were largely buoyant. In many EMs, a central new reality is the rise of domestic demand as a driver of growth. Often overlooked, we believe that the frontier markets (FMs) asset class continues to exhibit ...
As we enter 2021, the macroeconomic backdrop for emerging markets is extremely promising. We believe the key long-term trend driving emerging markets is their transition from export-led growth to reliance on buoyant domestic demand. We see significant opportunities with global gro...
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2024-07-11 03:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-11 06:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-20 15:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...