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The reopening should continue across the major developed economies through the second half of 2021. The focus for markets has shifted to the strength of the growth rebound, the implications for inflation and the timing of central bank moves to taper asset purchases and eventually rais...
Central banks have entered tightening mode, often a threat to EM risk appetite, but we see opportunities. The MSCI EM equity index remains above its 2007 high while sentiment and flows have eased. EM is a stealth reopening play considering sector weights. EM fixed income doesn...
If you’re wondering about the potential direction for the dollar, the downward trend looks like it will resume thanks to the “twin” trade and budget deficits. From the June 11, ’21 Bespoke report, Paul Hickey notes the MSCI World Index (ex-US) has seen over...
US stocks rallied to record highs and dollar weakness returned as investors shrug off the hawkish tilt given at last week’s FOMC policy decision. The trading week ended with a mixed inflation report that contained a downside surprise with the monthly reading. The upcoming w...
With the economic recovery undeniably ramping up, we ask managers for their thoughts on valuations in the markets. While lockdowns were protracted affairs for so many of us, the economic recovery has been astoundingly rapid in many parts of the world. Regardless of the shift in to...
Early lockdown measures and supply chain disruptions induced a spike in consumer food prices. Ocean freight rates as measured by the Baltic Dry Index (a measure of shipping costs) have increased around 2-3 times in the last 12 months. From their trough in April 2020, international...
PIMCO’s baseline outlook for the cyclical horizon has the global economy continuing its uneven recovery before shifting to a more moderate pace of above-trend growth in 2022. With the pandemic receding across much of the world, policy support has also likely peaked and will tur...
Next week is filled with Fed speak that could show more policymakers are turning hawkish given the Fed’s overall surprise with pricing pressures this year. Currency markets are bracing for potentially more dollar momentum as the Fed has signaled they are now not willing to tole...
Last year's pandemic crisis U-trip took just 128 days - significantly less than the long-term average, despite a once-in-a-generation healthcare crisis. While the recovery speed has varied, the global economy is clearly on the mend. We believe that the next phase of the reopening/...
We expect that the impact of the U.S. trifecta will continue to wane, supporting a sustained weak dollar regime and opportunities in overseas markets. There’s no doubt that the U.S. economy is in the midst of a strong recovery. As global vaccination efforts continue and eco...
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2024-07-11 03:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-11 06:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-20 15:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...