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The latest IHS Markit US Sector PMI revealed that six of the seven broad sectors tracked by the surveys reported higher output in November. Despite some of the supply chain problems having eased in November, the extent to which production growth had been constrained is consistent with...
Algorithms dominate short-term trading and use as inputs $WTI(oil prices), interest rates and the exchange rate of the US$ vs global currencies. Prices do reflect fundamentals over the long term simply because economic reality eventually is the basis of market psychology. Markets ...
U.S. vehicle sales post a decent gain in October after five consecutive months of decline. Global auto supply chains have been hit by a series of disruptions over the past year. The growing popularity of EVs offers North American automakers a unique opportunity to organically reor...
The US is lagging behind in the electrification of new cars. While new government policies could help to close the gap, a full shift to electric vehicles will take many years and require massive investment. The government's aim for EVs to make up 50% of new sales by 2030 seems cha...
The inevitable rise of commodities in the next decade. Investing in commodities vs. producers. Could we see $150 oil? For further details see: Beyond The Energy Crisis: The Rise Of The Next Commodities Supercycle
The problem with market speculation is that it starts to tempt the prudent investor into reckless behavior. What has always been prudent - owning a low-cost index fund - has now become a more speculative investment because of the degree of speculation in the market. The S&P 500 ha...
Investors in 2022 should prepare themselves for lower rates of S&P 500 EPS and revenue growth. It’s a “return-to-normal” market. Financial sector EPS growth is negative since reserve releases are probably expected to be much lower in 2022. Energy and Basic...
Supply chain bottlenecks are hitting sectors including labor, microchips and housing. Some of these disruptions will be around for the longer term, and investors should think about what they mean for portfolios. ETFs can help provide diversified, low-cost access to targeted sector...
We see price pressures to persist in 2022, mostly driven by the unusual restart dynamics. Eventually, we see a higher inflation regime than pre-Covid. U.S. consumer price index (CPI) jumped more than expected in October, bringing annual inflation rate to 6.2%, the highest level in thr...
Electric vehicle engines need far fewer components than internal combustion engines but have much heavier and more complex batteries. These in turn use a higher proportion and greater variety of minerals - around six times more than conventional vehicles. Increased mineral extraction ...
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Despite being negatively affected by the global semiconductor chip shortage the electric vehicle industry is expected to generate solid growth in the coming years fueled by governmental support worldwide. So, we think investors looking to capitalize on the industry’s growth in a relati...