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A climate mitigation policy mix of carbon taxes, green subsidies, and infrastructure investment could reduce global balances by a quarter by 2027. Global interest rates are also likely to fall in the longer term because of the decline in investment in fossil fuels, following an initia...
We now believe that EM debt could represent a buying opportunity for investors looking to take advantage of higher yields and improved valuations. The speed and extent of further monetary tightening in the United States are uncertain, and as a result, there are concerns about the impa...
Our expectation is that as valuations continue to improve, flows will return to the asset class, which may act as a catalyst for higher prices. This is supported by a 2021 International Monetary Fund paper concluding that growth optimism is not a key driver of hard currency bond flows...
Many of the downside risks flagged in our April World Economic Outlook have begun to materialize. Despite slowing activity, global inflation has been revised up, in part due to rising food and energy prices. As advanced economies raise interest rates to fight inflation, financial ...
In the second quarter, we've seen double-digit negative returns across the fixed income landscape. For corporate bonds on the investment-grade side of things, we've seen spreads tick 160. A lot of what's going on right now is just the aftermath of a pandemic that's disrupted the h...
Recent rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve have weighed on emerging markets debt returns, which were already weak in 2021 and the first quarter of 2022. Looking back at previous Fed rate-hiking cycles, then, there is no clear pattern or trend to draw from conclusively: It is unclea...
The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...
Based on monetary trends and the early reaction in the economy, we anticipate a slowing growth environment in the U.S., with rising recession risk that depends on the extent of frontloaded Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Following the initial COVID shock in 2020, investment grade...
Last quarter, the Asset Allocation Committee adopted an underweight view on global equities and leaned more heavily into cash, commodities and other alternative, diversifying assets. The Committee’s views on real and alternative assets are unchanged this quarter. The Asset ...
2021 saw a rise in social and sustainability bond issuances from corporate and sovereign issuers alike. These social-focused bond issues are just one more example of how bond markets are helping drive sustainable change in the global economy. Here, we highlight select takeaways fr...
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2024-07-11 03:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 06:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-30 14:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...