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The expected risk premium for the Global Market (GMI) ticked up in August, reaching an annualized 6.1%, slightly above the previous month’s estimate. Despite the comparatively high GMI forecast, the current estimate remains well below the index’s realized risk premium fo...
Why yields have been falling, and whether bond markets are trying to signal to any important trends to investors, particularly in light of the fact that we've seen equities reach new highs. This is a market environment, or a trading environment, that feels like people want to add dura...
The winning streak for American shares rolled on in August. US stocks rose for a seventh straight month and posted the strongest gain for the major asset classes. US bonds also lost ground in August. The Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index slipped 0.2%, the first monthly decline for the be...
Risks in many emerging markets (EMs) are driven by political instability or high external vulnerabilities, meaning there is little scope for systemic crises. Given this outlook, we believe there are opportunities in EM debt markets in Africa, the Middle East, and Ukraine. We expec...
Only funds with yields over 6.50%, coverage higher than 80% and trading at under a +5% premium are considered. Top lists of discount, yield, DxY and DxYxZ are given. Top DxYxZ funds are FEI, AIF and FPL. For further details see: The 'High-High-Low' Closed-End Fund Report...
GMI’s 10-year Sharpe ratio (SR) edged up for a fifth straight month to 0.86, the highest since January 2020, based on a rolling ten-year window via monthly data. Profiling GMI through a drawdown lens also reflects an extended stretch of low risk. GMI is useful as a baseline...
Ten year Treasury yield levels, which dipped below 1.20% earlier this month, seem to be at odds with a general narrative of non-transitory inflation and accelerating economic growth. Many emerging markets' central banks are ahead of the Federal Reserve with rate hikes, and although ra...
The projected risk premium for the Global Market held steady in July at an annualized 6.0%, unchanged from the previous month. Despite the recent bounce, GMI’s trailing 10-year performance remains well below the previous 8%-plus peak. No one really knows what risk premia wi...
Most of the major asset classes continued to rise in July, led by US real estate investment trusts (REITs). US equities continued trending higher. The bull run also persisted for the Global Market Index (GMI) in July. For further details see: Major Asset Classes: July 20...
The US high-yield index is almost $1.6 trillion, but it pales in comparison to a broader global multi-sector universe that tops $8 trillion. Ever-changing global economic and market conditions mean every category has the chance of being the best or worst performing in any given year. ...
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2024-07-21 06:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 03:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 06:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...