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This is the most difficult year in many decades to write one of these. Never before have both the macro and finance environments been so exceptional. The biggest unknown for 2021 is what happens to the giant household savings bubble. There are a very wide range of possible outcomes ba...
The week ahead is all about COVID, the Georgia Senate runoff races, and possibly a negative nonfarm payroll reading. The main economic data event of the week will be the December nonfarm payroll report. A Brexit deal was concluded on Christmas Eve and is moving rapidly through the...
The US can learn from Venezuela’s mistakes that made a rich country poor while artificially inflating its stock market. Japan is leading the way into uncharted economic waters, poking the bear. The US should not follow too closely. China is nipping at US heels on a path to ...
The S&P 500 slipped 0.2% (up 14.6% y-t-d), while the Dow was little changed (up 5.8%). Three-month Treasury bill rates ended the week at 0.08%. For the week, the U.S. dollar index increased 0.2% to 90.223 (down 6.5% y-t-d). For further details see: Weekly Commentary:...
The "recovery" trade is a hot topic of conversation, and so far the trends appear to support that storyline. But it's important to watch out for blind spots and biases. Recently, we sat down to discuss what we're seeing in the markets and the questions that could surprise us in 20...
S&P Dow Jones Indices' recent report on buyback activity for the third quarter shows buyback activity increasing to $101.79 billion from $88.66 billion in the second quarter. With the economy mostly reopening, at least through Q3 2020, companies reported an improvement in 'as repo...
In 2019, we wrote about how corporate share repurchases, or "stock buybacks," had accounted for nearly all buying in the market. A year later, that significant support for asset prices has reversed. Notably, while investors are willing to "pay more for less" in earnings, revenue g...
Last week, we discussed the market approaching the 3,750 year-end price target we had established back in August. With the markets currently "knocking on the door," we will likely reach that target by year-end. Such is particularly the case with the seasonal "Santa Claus" rally ju...
Federal Reserve Assets surged $120 billion last week to a record $7.363 trillion. Fed Assets inflated $3.593 trillion, or 95%, over the past 66 weeks. Overheated markets have become wholly enchanted by this frightening monetary inflation. Whether it's the U.S., China or elsewhere,...
One of the responsibilities of a prudent investment manager is to avoid as many meaningful surprises as possible. A meaningful surprise is one that prevents the accomplishment of a strategic goal. Also, some surprises won't be anticipated, but will be helped by a quick reaction coming...
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2024-05-20 17:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-10 17:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 04:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...