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What's Causing the Subprime Auto Loan Fiasco? Serious auto loan delinquencies are now on par with Q2 2009 when millions of people had lost their jobs and when the economy was in free-fall. But today unemployment is low and the economy appears to be humming. What gives? (13 minutes) Bu...
Let's spare a few moments of sympathy for the equity bears. The Q4 rout was supposed to have been an appetizer for a more sustained bear market, and by most accounts, the major narratives are still on their side. Excess liquidity indicators - chiefly real M1 - and other leading macro-indicator...
It has been a slow, grinding process for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) since the September bottom, but finally it has reached the top end of a 4-month trading range. The upcoming test of the 2,800 level in the SPX carries as much significance psychologically as it does technically, for a success...
On Tuesday, I discussed the issue of the markets being stuck between various short- and longer-term moving averages. To wit: "Despite those more macro-concerns, the market has had a phenomenal run from the 'Christmas Eve' lows and has moved above both the Oct-Nov lows and the 50-dma...
Stocks provide a return to today's investors via two mechanisms: dividends and capital gains. Dividends provide and income stream which can be quantitatively valued. Capital gains result from speculation - an expectation that future dividends will be higher than the market currently expects....
"Headlines, in a way, are what mislead you, because bad news is a headline, and gradual improvement is not." - Bill Gates Investors are asking where do the equity markets go from here? The following will give one an idea of how difficult it is to even attempt to come up with an answer....
Equity markets unraveled in the last quarter of 2018, sending investors into panic mode. But almost just as quickly, markets have recovered most of those losses. So what gives? Kim Parlee speaks with Brad Simpson, Chief Wealth Strategist, TD Wealth , who says we need a new narrative to...
By Jill Mislinski Here is the opening statement from the Department of Labor: In the week ending February 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 239,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,...
Together, Texas and California are home to over one out of five teens between the ages of 16 and 19 in the United States. Of the two states, California's teen population is larger than that of Texas, although its population has been slowly declining in recent years, while Texas' teen populatio...
The purpose of this article is to assess the macro-fiscal flows for December 2018 and determine what effect these flows will have on the stock market and the economy. Macro fiscal flows impact investment markets with a lagged effect of typically one month. A flush of funds now from governmen...