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Summary Asia-Pacific bourses followed yesterday’s US loss. Europe’s STOXX 600 has steadied after opening lower. US futures are narrowly mixed ahead of the US jobs report. The dollar is softer against the G10 currencies, but intraday momentum indicators are stretc...
Summary Europe’s STOXX 600 is giving up its earlier advance, and US futures are heavier. Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region advanced. The dollar is mixed, with the dollar bloc currencies, sterling and the Norwegian krone on the weaker side. G10 currencies like the eu...
Summary US equity futures are lower after the S&P 500 had its best two days since 2020. Europe’s STOXX 600, which has gained more than 5% in its three-day rally, is more around 0.9% lower in late morning turnover. The large Asia-Pacific bourses advanced, led by a ne...
Summary The large equity markets in the Asia-Pacific region rose 2.0-3.75%. Europe’s STOXX 600 gapped higher and it is up around 2.2% in late morning turnover, while US futures point to a gap-higher opening. The greenback is mixed. The dollar bloc and the Japanese yen a...
Summary The G5 FX CVOL™ Index, which tracks volatility in the major currency pairs against the U.S. dollar, recently reached the highest level since March 2020. The U.S. dollar is near a two-decade high against a basket of other currencies. Exchange rate volatility incr...
Summary YTD, the S&P 500 is now down 24% while bonds have their own double-digit losses. Like stock valuations, currency valuations aren’t great timing tools but over a 3-year period after becoming undervalued, the outperformance is strong. Consumer defensive stocks...
Summary The Bank of England's new purchases of Gilts coincided with a reassessment of the trajectory of Fed policy. The rapid referendums in eastern Ukraine and Russia's annexation of the territories, after taking Crimea in 2014, point to a new phase in the conflict. Sterling'...
Summary Investors will have a handful of key economic releases to follow this week. The key economic release for the week is the September nonfarm payroll report. Unemployment is expected to remain steady at 3.7%. US It remains all about the Fed as it continu...
Summary Sterling recovered to almost where it was a week ago, while BOE’s hand has help steady the Gilt market. The dollar is mixed, though mostly a little firmer. Among emerging market currencies, central Europe is underperforming. The Chinese yuan rose for a second se...
Summary We believe it is unlikely that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will navigate a pivot to a less-hawkish stance before early in 2023. We expect China to grow at a meager 2%-3% pace in 2022, with the potential for these risks to bleed into 2023, as a slowing developed-market consumer...
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