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Summary Many expect the Fed to signal it will return to a 50 bp move next month, but we are not convinced that it will go beyond indicating that 50 bp or 75 bp will be debated in December, depending on the data. Equities in Asia-Pacific and Europe rose. US futures are slightly fir...
Summary Europe’s STOXX 600 recovered yesterday and is up another 1.1% today, the sixth gain in the past seven sessions. Hang Seng surged 5.2%, while all the large markets in the region advanced. US futures are broadly higher, while the dollar is broadly lower. Among...
Summary Sterling and the yen are the weakest performers among the G10 currencies and are off 0.45-0.50%. The Antipodeans are performing best and are straddling little-changed levels. EM currencies are lower, led by the South African rand, the Russian rouble, and the Chinese yu...
Summary With this month's hike, the Federal Reserve would have raised overnight rates by 300 bp while doubling the pace that its balance sheet is shrinking over the past 100 days. The JPMorgan Emerging Market Currency Index stabilized in October after falling by nearly 8.5% in the...
Summary The week ahead is important from a macro perspective. The data highlights include China's PMI, eurozone preliminary October CPI and Q3 GDP, and the US employment reports. The October PMI will be reported before the markets open on Monday. The US, eurozone, and UK prelimina...
Summary With higher inflation and an unchanged BOJ stance, the yen leads the G10 currencies lower today with a nearly 1% drop. The dollar is mostly higher. The euro is a little softer around $0.9950. Outside of a couple of Asian currencies, emerging market currencies are heavy...
Summary The greenback is trading with a firmer bias against the G10 currencies. EM currencies are more mixed, with several Asian currencies leading the advance (South Korea, Taiwan, and the Philippines). Central European currencies are posting 0.6-0.8% losses, as is the Chinese yu...
Summary The US dollar has been sold across the board and taken out key levels like parity in the euro, $1.15 in sterling, and CAD1.36. The Chinese yuan surged over 1%. Large bourses in Asia-Pacific rallied and the CSI 300 rose by 0.8%, its first gain of the week. After ris...
Summary Most of the major currencies seem to be consolidating. The Chinese yuan approached the 2% band today, and its loss of about 0.65% makes it the weakest among the EM currencies. Asia-Pacific equities were mixed. Chinese stocks pared earlier losses as foreign buying via t...
Summary Despite initial success, the dollar is back near JPY149.50 as the North American session is about to begin. The end of the Chinese Congress has seen the yuan weaken to new lows. While the large bourses in the Asia-Pacific region rose, China and Hong Kong were notable e...
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