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China has been advocating a regional trade pact, which would exclude the US. The dollar is consolidating against the yen in what appears to be still constructive price action. The latest Bloomberg surveys found economists have boosted their odds of a eurozone recession. ...
News regarding German investors’ confidence is plunging spurred euro sales that pushed the euro to parity for the first time since December 2002. The Indian rupee has been trading at record lows against the U.S. dollar in recent days, and like the Chinese yuan, is not fully con...
The EU – and the U.S., for that matter – are placing more energy sanctions on the Russian Federation, but it looks like they are self-defeating in nature. U.S. stocks have long ago traded below their March lows, but the initial DAX decline was much deeper and quite a bit...
European debt ratios have barely budged since 2012. Some Eurozone countries, including Ireland, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain have spent the past decade deleveraging and their debt ratios have plunged. Part of the reason there has been no debt crisis in Europe over the past...
The dollar rose to new 22-year highs against the Japanese yen, slightly above JPY137.25. After recording new 20-year lows near $1.0070 ahead of the weekend, the euro recovered and traded to almost $1.02. The two-day recovery in the Canadian dollar is being challenged today amid th...
The dollar’s surge is partly a function of bad news elsewhere. The euro has been driven to new 20-year lows as short-term interest rate differentials move against it. The energy shock is intensifying. Economists cut US Q2 GDP forecasts, and the Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker stands...
News that former Prime Minister Abe was assassinated while campaigning in Japan ahead of the weekend election shocked the nation and world. Japan’s economic data pales in importance to the murder of Abe. The US dollar rallied Monday from around CAD1.2840 to about CAD1.3085 ...
The resignation of a UK prime minister makes for high political drama, but the markets hardly moved on it. Sterling, like most of the major currencies, are recovering against the dollar today. The US dollar has flirted on an intraday basis the 20-day moving average against the yen, bu...
Even though I expect reported inflation to remain uncomfortably high through at least the end of this year, it's becoming clear, on the margin, that the inflation dynamics are improving for the better. A strong dollar has almost always coincided with weak commodity prices, but we saw ...
With EUR/USD closing in on parity we are getting questions from customers as to what a break of parity could look like and how far EUR/USD could fall? 1.00 is probably the biggest psychological level around in FX and fireworks look likely. The options market would size up a worst-...
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