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Macro trends set the stage for money flows and the big trends of the moment are all based on supply chain problems and the subsequent inflation created by the pandemic and the subsequent sequelae. The Fed can’t raise interest rates forever. So as long as VIX is falling, it ...
Starts in the dominant single-family segment posted a rate of 1.200 million in March versus 1.221 million in February, a drop of 1.7% and are off 4.4% from a year ago. Two of the three components of the Housing Market Index fell in April. Higher home prices and higher mortgage rat...
NAHB’s monthly homebuilder sentiment index dropped 2 points in April to 77. Present sales dropped 2 points for the second month in a row. As homebuilder sentiment drops, so too have homebuilder stocks. For further details see: Western Wobbling In Homebuilder Senti...
Typically, we look at net new highs as a way to confirm moves in the broader market. At the high last Wednesday, over 90% of S&P 500’s new highs came from defensive sectors. In other words, defensives have been a notable pocket of strength recently. For further de...
The broader equity categories turned in negative results in Q1. U.S. large-cap stocks, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, held up the best at a decline of 4.6%. Bonds performed worse than many of the equity categories, despite typically being viewed as a safe haven investment. In t...
Does the yield curve inversion cause a recession or does it just provide a signal? Is the inversion only about expected future monetary policy? Do other factors also influence the shape of the curve, and if so, can we disentangle the various factors? There is a lot that we don’...
Self-storage REITs- which delivered the most impressive rebound of any property sector throughout the pandemic- have built on their gains in early 2022 following a jaw-dropping 80% surge last year. Stumbling into the coronavirus pandemic with challenged fundamentals and an outlook for...
The percentage of people who said that now is a “bad time to buy” a home jumped to 73%, another record-worst in the data going back to 2010, according to Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey for March. The percentage of people who said that now is a “good t...
Inflation expectations have kept the Federal Reserve center stage as they commenced their interest rate rising cycle in March. The war in Ukraine and Omicron’s spread in China impacted inflation and supply chains differently, but both delay supply chain normalization. Regar...
As government bond prices have declined on expectations of aggressive rate hikes from central banks, fixed mortgage interest rates (priced off bond yields), have leapt. After rising sharply during the pandemic, high home prices have now combined with higher interest rates to drive a 3...
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Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate Company Name:
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ATLANTA , Dec. 2, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco Ltd. (NYSE: IVZ) a leading global provider of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), announced today that it expects to deliver capital gains distributions across 33 Invesco ETFs.* For the funds listed in Table 1, the ex-date for t...