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The stagflation scenario got a little more traction last week with the release of a negative Q1 GDP print on Thursday and hints of more inflation on Friday. April was a really rotten month with everything down but the general commodity indexes. Investing is mostly an exercise in s...
One of the most conclusive pieces of evidence showing the housing market was in a bubble during the early 2000s was the significant and growing disconnect between Median Family Home prices and the Consumer Price Index. Today’s bubble was created by ultra-accommodative monetary ...
We're approaching the halfway point of another newsworthy real estate earnings season with over 50 REITs representing 50% of the total market capitalization having reported results. Among the 40 REITs that provided full-year FFO guidance, 30 REITs (75%) raised their outlook- well abov...
After US median home prices collapsed 40% nationally by 2011, American disposable income growth was able to get ahead of home appreciation for a few years. The median household is now adding about $6400 in new debt per year to meet their obligations. Unfortunately, those who borro...
Spiking mortgage rates multiply the effects of exploding home prices on mortgage payments, and it has taken layer after layer of homebuyers out of the market for the past four months. Mortgage applications to purchase a home fell further this week and were down 17% from a year ago, hi...
Political Calculations' initial estimate of the U.S. new homes market cap is $31.19 billion. Overall, the trailing twelve month averages for both new home sales and average new home sale prices continued their recent upward trends. Since new home sales are counted toward GDP when ...
This morning's release of the March New Home Sales from the Census Bureau came in at 763K, down 8.6% month-over-month from 835K in February. The Census Bureau's mid-month population estimates show a 77% increase in the US population since 1963. New single-family home sales are 30....
Sales of new single-family homes fell in March, declining 8.6 percent to 763,000 at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate from a 835,000 pace in February. New home sales surged in the second half of 2020 but then slowed sharply in the first three quarters of 2021, hitting a low of 667,000...
With long-term U.S. rates near 3% and short-term rates soon to rise to near 1%, the U.S. dollar will stay stronger than the euro, whose official rate remains near zero, so the world will keep buying U.S. dollars. This week, we get the official first estimate of first-quarter GDP. Than...
Historically, a recession followed when 50% or more of the tracked yield curves became inverted. Every time. Interestingly, many of the data points suggesting the “economy is booming” are lagging indicators subject to significant negative revisions in the future. Eve...
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ATLANTA , Dec. 2, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco Ltd. (NYSE: IVZ) a leading global provider of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), announced today that it expects to deliver capital gains distributions across 33 Invesco ETFs.* For the funds listed in Table 1, the ex-date for t...