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Summary China’s rebound, which has boosted emerging markets asset prices, is real, and it is led by consumption - these are the main takeaways from the latest set of domestic activity gauges. The market (both bonds and equities) has been anticipating improvements in China’...
Summary Despite softer economic conditions globally, emerging markets (EM) credit fundamentals remain supportive—and while we see some pockets of weakness, especially among energy- and food-importing countries, overall we believe EM debt is well positioned to withstand a period of we...
Summary Traders will focus on the FOMC decision, but they should also closely watch mega-cap tech earnings and the nonfarm payroll report. Economic data releases include India’s fiscal deficit, eight infrastructure industries, and both manufacturing and services PMIs. Cryptos...
Summary In the past, one of the biggest attractions of EM equities was a stronger macroeconomic growth backdrop than that of developed countries. We’re also seeing signals of declining inflation across various EM countries, including India and Brazil. Investors are understand...
Summary Much of the 2022 flavor of the polycrisis focused on the danger side. But there are opportunities to be explored as well. As we look ahead to 2023, we are at the same time mindful of the potential threats that await and the opportunities that may present themselves as everything...
Summary Gold prices have surged over the past two months with expectations that the US Federal Reserve will slow its interest rate rises. We have increased our 2023 price outlook slightly based on the faster-than-expected pivot in US interest rate policy and the return of Chinese demand...
Summary The debate about globalization will be interesting as companies increasingly seek alternatives to China and return to more domestic suppliers to solve their global supply chain glitches. The EV earthquake from Tesla’s price cuts is still reverberating, and it will be inte...
Summary Once the ebbing omicron wave allows Chinese citizens to feel comfortable again about social engagement, we should see a decent bounce in consumption, even property transactions, and business investment will be momentarily buoyed. Inflation remains the greatest threat to the glob...
Summary When focusing on what we believe are the primary market signals, the “condition our condition is in” is uncertain. Quality is an increasingly important risk factor as investors refocus on fundamentals during uncertain times. U.S. small-cap stocks may have alrea...
Summary The policy update doesn’t contradict the broader goals for Common Prosperity; the priorities have been reset and focuses rebalanced to tilt toward managing risk while reviving growth. I do not foresee major changes in monetary policy, which has been moderately accommodati...
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2024-07-01 09:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 10:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-30 19:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...