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On June 18th, 2019, ECB's vice president said another large bond-buying program could be an option if inflation in the region doesn't reach its intended target. As you can see in the following chart from Trading Economics , the inflation rate is dropping in the Eurozone and is currently b...
By Shekhar Aiyar, deputy chief in the IMF's European Department; John Bluedorn is a senior economist in the Structural Reforms Unit of the IMF’s Research Department; Romain Duval is an advisor in the IMF's Research Department Growth in the euro area rebounded earlier this year, but ...
By Andrew Mulliner, CFA The June 6 meeting of the European Central Bank ((ECB)) effectively marked the beginning of the end of its president, Mario Draghi's, reign. Andrew Mulliner, a Global Bonds Portfolio Manager, reflects on the outcome of the meeting and what the future holds with Mr....
Rome - the city of visible history, where the past of a whole hemisphere seems moving in funeral procession with strange ancestral images and trophies gathered from afar. - George Eliot The Romans and their empire was at its height in 117 CE. It was the most extensive political and...
Overview Global equities continue to recover from the recent slide. Chinese and Hong Kong markets were on holiday today, but the MSCI Asia Pacific Index eked out a minor gain and ensured that its four-week slide ended. Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is up about 0.7% through the European mornin...
On Friday, the 10-year Treasury bond yield collapsed to 2.13% (a 20-month low) after the stock market sold off in the wake of the surprise tariffs imposed on Mexico, to be enacted on June 10th if the Mexican government does not sufficiently cooperate with the Trump Administration to help stop ...
What Is It We're Worrying About? The eurozone is, by rough rule of thumb, some 20% of the global economy. If that goes into recession then it's going to affect everyone and every market. How do we tell if the eurozone is going into recession? Ah, well, that's much more of an art than it is...
What's the Problem Here? Macroeconomic factors will overwhelm near any investment plan based upon an individual stock or bond. Thus we need to be clear on the general direction of the economy before making such specific plans. The macroeconomic indicators we've got coming out of Germany are ...
(Source: ECB , caption and editing by the Author) For those who believe that the ECB will be forced into monetary policy easing again soon, the latest mid-year Financial Stability Review has come just at the right time. It may also have come just in time for the new Chief Economist Phil...
The EU parliamentary elections held last weekend delivered few surprises. Support for populist parties across the EU rose from around 22% in 2014 to around 28% currently, broadly in line with predictions from pre-election polls. The ranking of key groups in the European Parliament also looks t...