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It used to be that central banks heavily influenced inflation through tools such as interest rates, money supply and bank reserves. However, in a post-COVID-19 world with interest rates close to their lower bounds, this balance may be shifting, with fiscal policy now a much more impor...
The eurozone's manufacturing upturn is showing signs of losing momentum after the initial rebound from COVID-19 lockdowns, with rising infection rates posing a further threat to recovery prospects in coming months. With factory output still almost 8% lower than its pre-pandemic peak, a full re...
The "European Project" was designed with something like the current crisis in mind. The adoption of a common currency was just the first, politically easiest, step in a process that would eventually - its architects hoped - culminate in something like the United States, where a bunch of diff...
Jens Van 't Klooster is a postdoctoral fellow at KU Leuven and is also a member of the research group, A New Normative Framework for Financial Debt at the University of Amsterdam. Jens has recently coauthored an article titled *The Myth of Market Neutrality: A Comparative Study of the Europea...
Italy had been one of hardest hit countries, if not the worst, for a good while. For months rather than weeks, life was shut down in an effort to get ahead of COVID-19 while it ravaged seemingly unchecked. It became a buzzword of sorts, the name of the nation synonymous with the pandemic itse...
PMI surveys ask respondents to report on monthly changes in key business metrics, such as production, new orders, employment and prices. Estimating what the resulting survey indicators imply for actual changes in official economic data is not always straightforward, but by using historical com...
JPMorgan says while the trade-off between virus-containment and near-term growth is present everywhere, the tension is diminished across much of Europe due to the success in reducing the outbreak and limiting its reemergence. More news on: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF, iShares MSCI Germany ETF...
By Timothy Rahill , Jeroen van den Broek and Oleksiy Soroka, CFA Spreads currently price in the lower end of our expected default rates. In the midst of substantial recent tightening, we feel that current pricing is not realistic with respect to the expected volume of downgrades and ...
By Darren Williams and John Taylor COVID-19 is catapulting the world into a new era of central banking - helping governments finance growing debt by capping bond yields near zero. Despite some hurdles, we're confident that this will play out just as powerfully in the euro area as elsewhe...
With so many countries across the world facing difficulties, many people have yet to notice the Euro-Zone has become a place where hope goes to die. The last round of elections in the Euro-Zone should bring little comfort to those supporting a stronger Europe. Huge gains were made by forces se...