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Overview The implications of President Trump's assessment that there has not been "nearly enough" progress in negotiations with Mexico that would avert the tariff on June 10 competing for investors' attention, which had been squarely today's ECB meeting. Minutes before Trump spoke, Fitch cut...
By Bill Witherell, Ph.D. The results of the European Union's Parliamentary elections, held the last weekend in May, were welcomed by investors as being not as bad as many had feared. A broad populist and nationalist anti-EU surge, which had looked possible, was avoided. Pro-EU lawmakers wi...
What Is It We're Worrying About? The eurozone is, by rough rule of thumb, some 20% of the global economy. If that goes into recession then it's going to affect everyone and every market. How do we tell if the eurozone is going into recession? Ah, well, that's much more of an art than it is...
What's the Problem Here? Macroeconomic factors will overwhelm near any investment plan based upon an individual stock or bond. Thus we need to be clear on the general direction of the economy before making such specific plans. The macroeconomic indicators we've got coming out of Germany are ...
(Source: ECB , caption and editing by the Author) For those who believe that the ECB will be forced into monetary policy easing again soon, the latest mid-year Financial Stability Review has come just at the right time. It may also have come just in time for the new Chief Economist Phil...
Overview The global capital markets are stabilizing today after taking a body blow of broadening the use of US tariffs (in migration dispute with Mexico), threatening the ratification of NAFTA 2.0, still-escalating hostile rhetoric between the US and China, and the threat of anti-trust actio...
The EU parliamentary elections held last weekend delivered few surprises. Support for populist parties across the EU rose from around 22% in 2014 to around 28% currently, broadly in line with predictions from pre-election polls. The ranking of key groups in the European Parliament also looks t...
Europe: The Week Ahead (June 3-7) The National Bank of Serbia will decide on its key policy rate in the week ahead amid rising inflation pressures in the country, as well as reignited tensions with Kosovo. At its previous meeting in early May, the southeast Balkan nation’s central...
The tariff truce came to an abrupt end via presidential tweets on May 3. Until those tweets, US officials had been indicating that progress was being made and there was hope that at the sidelines of the G20 meeting that Trump and Xi would agree on a trade deal. The end of the tariff truce mark...
The S&P 500 is down about 4% so far in May (through last Friday) mostly due to trade tensions with China, but those tensions were loosened somewhat on Friday after U.S. officials eased some of the trade restrictions on China's 5G giant, Huawei, granting them a 90-day temporary extension to...
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State Street Global Advisors, the asset management business of State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT), today announced the addition of seven rebranded SPDR ETFs to the SPDR Portfolio suite. Introduced in 2017 and attracting $34.4 billion in new assets in just two years, 1 the SPDR Portfolio off...