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We're in the midst of a mini-replay of the drama surrounding Fed policy that played out late last year and early this year. Back then the market was telling the Fed that it was mistaken in planning two more rate hikes this year, but it took the Fed a bit too long to figure that out, and that i...
Jesse Felder, Founder of The Felder Report , joins us on SBTV and warns that current asset bubbles induced by policies of the Federal Reserve have been blown to epic Ponzi levels. Discussed in this interview: 04:07 Failure of Bear Stearns during 2008 financial crisis 08:20 ...
By Pater Tenebrarum Money Supply Growth Continues to Decelerate Here is a brief update of recent developments in US true money supply growth as well as the trend in the ratio of industrial production of capital goods versus consumer goods (we use the latter as a proxy for the effects o...
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) piled on more bad news to the otherwise pleasing GDP headline for the first quarter. In its first revision to the preliminary estimate, the government agency said output advanced just a little less than first thought. This wasn't actually the substance of ...
The past year, 2018, is looking more and more likely to be the year of the peak in this last credit cycle. When I say credit cycle, I'm talking about overall credit. Based on the senior loan officer survey, which is a quarterly survey sent to US domestic banks asking about loan demand and th...
Back in the 1980s and 1990s, many people thought excessive government spending and the resulting debt would bring inflation or even hyperinflation. We wanted a hawkish Federal Reserve or, better yet, a gold standard to prevent it. Reality turned out differently. Federal debt rose steadily,...
Unlike most articles that have the President's name in the title, this note will not be political in nature but rather will discuss some facts regarding the trade dispute with China and our trading relationship with the rest of the world. I want to outline one of the problems that the admini...
We see income, or carry, reasserting itself as the key driver of bond market returns. Scott explains. Coupon income historically has contributed the lion's share of total returns across global fixed income markets. Yet declining yields this year elevated the role of capital appreciation in...
Where's the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield going? This is the most common question I get from both institutional and advisor clients. It's a question we'd all like to know the answer to - and one you might expect a bond manager like me to answer. It's like asking a stock-picker where the S&am...
By Kevin Flanagan The current landscape for the fixed income arena can be defined by two key factors. The first, of course, is the current, as well as prospective, shape of the yield curve. The second is that, according to Federal Reserve (Fed) data, households have been stashing away larg...
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2024-06-26 02:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-27 07:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-06 17:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...