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Summary I expect traditional fossil fuel energy companies to continue to excel, rising to up to 30% of the S&P 500 in the upcoming years as technology stocks continue to shrink. After the most aggressive series of rate hikes in decades, inflation is finally moderating. Whether or no...
Summary Growth in Texas factory activity resumed in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. Texas produced $159 billion in manufactured goods in 2008, roughly 9.5 percent of the country’s manufacturing output. Texas als...
Summary Transportation is above the baseline in both value and quality scores. Aerospace/defense is overvalued and has weak quality metrics. We look at VIS, an alternative to XLI. 10 stocks cheaper than their peers in December. This monthly article series shows a dashb...
Summary December FOMC meeting point to policymakers already starting to take a less aggressive stance to policy tightening compared to the prior four 75 basis point hikes. In line with PMI data, the latest official data signalled a slowdown in the pace of Consumer Price Inflation during...
Summary PPI is cooling off, due largely to the fact that the big PPI surges from a year ago are being “cut off” in the annual calculation. Core PPI, excluding food, energy and trade margins, rose just 0.3% in November and 4.9% in the past 12 months. ISM announced that its ...
Summary The Fed’s mandate is stable prices and maximum employment. For now, employment, wages and inflation momentum are still too strong to warrant a Fed pivot. If Powell and the Fed fail to tame inflation, then their heads are on the chopping block. They know this and they will...
Summary Global business conditions worsened in the penultimate month of the year according to the JPMorgan Global Composite PMI, compiled by S&P Global. New order expansions were seen in merely three of the 21 sectors tracked by the global PMI - software & services, pharmaceutic...
Summary At least one of two things should happen to warn that an official US recession is about to begin. One is a decline in the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index (NOI) to below 48 and the other is a reversal of the yield curve’s trend from flattening/inverting to steepening. ...
Summary Empire State Manufacturing Index rates a level above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. The reading is compiled from a survey of about 200 manufacturers in New York state. Following the Great Recession, the index has slipped into ...
Summary Surging stocks show markets believe hopes of a soft landing by the Fed to be true. We disagree and stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. U.S. stocks jumped and bond yields plunged after October CPI rose less than the market expected. But sticky core inflation keep...
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2024-07-21 14:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-01 13:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 05:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...