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2023-10-16 05:18:00 ET Summary According to Morningstar, the iShares TLT’s SEC yield, is 4.85%, while the 12-month yield is 3.57%, thus splitting the difference on the TLT yield puts the average around 4.2%. The flip side of the Treasury valuation argument is that the Treas...
2023-10-14 03:55:00 ET Summary The risk of a crisis event in the economy is increasing, as the Fed’s "higher for longer" narrative is compromised by lagging economic data. The yield curve inversions occur roughly 10-24 months before a recession or crisis event. This is beca...
2023-10-13 10:30:00 ET Summary We are value investors. In constructing portfolios for our clients, we seek out companies that we believe are trading in the market at significant discounts to their underlying value. These businesses must offer significant profit potential and be run by...
2023-10-11 01:05:00 ET Summary Over the past 12 months industrial production has been flat and the ISM Manufacturing Report has been warning of imminent recession. Despite the warnings from reliable leading indicators, the dominant view now is that there will be a “soft lan...
2023-10-10 12:45:00 ET Summary In September, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee paused rates at 5.25% for the second month running, based on softer inflation figures for the month. However, inflation generally, and in the UK in particular, has proven stickier t...
2023-10-10 01:03:00 ET Summary It’s hard to blame the bulls for their good cheer of late. Spiking inflation no longer dominates the headlines even as the U.S. economy has rebounded toward its long-term trend. Meanwhile, the labor market has started to ease (perhaps reducing...
2023-10-09 23:21:00 ET Summary For the past 30 years, implied volatility and yield curves have been locked in a repeating cycle. S&P 500 options volatility appears to alternate between high and low volatility regimes. Implied volatility on S&P 500 options has been exce...
2023-10-09 11:55:00 ET Summary The employment report on Friday seemed like a good one. The unemployment rate was unchanged as the economy added 336,000 jobs in September. The S&P 500 traded down over 38 points. The 10-year Treasury note yield spiked higher by 17 basis points, ...
2023-10-05 04:03:00 ET Summary The U.S. Treasury yield curve is currently inverted, with yields on short-term bonds higher than yields on longer-term bonds. Some expect this to unwind with short-term bond yields falling faster than longer-term yields. Amid these expectations, thos...
2023-10-04 06:52:00 ET Summary Why the bond bull market is still in place. Markets priced 'everything for perfection': Now what? Hard landing or soft landing? September has been a challenging month for investors as they face numerous headwinds, including economic u...
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2024-07-01 14:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 15:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 06:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...