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2023-11-21 09:48:00 ET Summary From the standpoint of systematic monetary policy, the Federal Funds rate remains below, not above, levels that have historically been consistent with prevailing core inflation, output, employment, and sales. Emphatically, our investment discipline i...
2023-11-10 05:58:04 ET Ransomware attacks are on the rise, posing new challenges to companies, businesses and entities in an age when nearly everything is done online. New technologies, open banking and the expansion of remote transactions have all made the task of cybersecurity even more c...
2023-11-08 22:04:42 ET Summary US long bond yields have receded, leading to a bounce in the high beta space thanks to renewed liquidity. Yet, "Credit availability" is deteriorating, and employment and PMI indicators are weakening, which does not bode well for 2024. There is a ...
2023-11-06 09:00:00 ET Summary The market decided last week that interest rates have peaked for this cycle. And if rates have peaked then all the assets that have been pressured over the last two years can finally come up for air. Whether the Fed’s rate hikes really caused ...
2023-11-03 23:00:00 ET Summary Long rates are now near 5%, resulting in mortgage rates now above 8.5% on average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and over 7.6% on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage. As for inflation, Chairman Powell repeatedly emphasized that progress was being made b...
2023-11-03 01:25:00 ET Summary The nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly jumped in September. The increase of 336,000 was the largest since January, and it was accompanied by upward revisions to the prior two months. The 12-month trend rate for the overall price index for person...
2023-11-01 09:05:00 ET Summary Historically, investors have been better served adding to their equity portfolios at the start of conflicts rather than reducing exposure or simply staying the course. How has the US stock market historically performed in the one year after the Fed e...
2023-10-31 14:50:00 ET Summary Since July, the probability of a recession starting sometime in the next 12 months has declined. However, the U.S. treasury yield curve is still inverted and the probability of recession remains elevated. The Recession Probability Track indicates...
2023-10-30 07:45:20 ET This week's FOMC announcement on interest rates would typically be the big-name event for investors, but not this time around. While a Fed hike in December is up for debate, no one expects the central bank to raise rates this week, especially given recent economic dat...
2023-10-24 08:41:00 ET Related stories The Budget Deficit: Increasing At A Challenging Pace, And The Impact On TLT Fed Focus, Loving + Hating Earnings Season, Bonds Competing With Stocks U.S. Treasury returns set for worst month this year; Ackman short bet pays off ...
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2024-07-01 14:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 15:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 06:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...