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To address the breadth of possibilities that lie ahead in this environment, our global outlook for 2021 includes a base case, an upside scenario, and a downside scenario. In our base-case scenario, we expect equities to outperform fixed income as growth moves above trend, the global e...
A potentially higher inflationary environment for 2021 may put central banks and markets at odds. With markets looking past recent COVID-19 data with promising vaccine announcements, value is growing increasingly attractive. Markets could tighten with the onset of growth, and the ...
The prospect of middling economic growth and low rates makes income generation challenging for many investors. A potential rise in inflation may lead to lower real yields, highlighting the greater importance of equities as a way to access portfolio income. High-yield and dividend-...
Record retail participation in the stock market indicates euphoria. Goldman Sachs stated that U.S. equity markets are valued at 92% across aggregated valuation methods. High debt and unemployment, low economic growth, and rising costs have created a stagflation trap similar to the...
Traditionally, large trade deficits are evidence of loose monetary conditions and resulting unsustainable spending patterns. No doubt about it, this crisis period is unique. More than three trillion worth of Fed liquidity injections coupled with a more than three trillion fiscal defic...
The Bank of England and Fed have scope to double QE programs. But using GFC playbook in a liquidity trap may have little impact, as BoJ found. Evidence on the efficacy of negative interest rates is also mixed. COVID-19-bond financed stimulus is unlimited in size and not tempor...
The COVID-19 pandemic is the obvious main concern that is on everyone's mind both on a personal and economic basis. Everything hinges on the trajectory of potential vaccines and the measures that have to be taken until the vaccine becomes a reality both in development and distribution. ...
Recent news about the efficacy of potential COVID-19 vaccines sparked a sudden shift in equity market leadership in November. While it's too soon to say whether these trends will persist, investors should examine the balance of their equity exposures for resilience to a potential chan...
We upgrade U.S. equities to overweight, expecting this market to benefit from both structural growth trends and a potential cyclical upswing during 2021. Surging COVID cases and new restrictions in the U.S. have weighed on markets even as positive vaccine news points to an accelerated...
The world economy has really been rocking, and we've been talking about this since the summer, as can be seen by looking at global business activity, PMIs. Copper prices are near four-year highs and have continued to rally through the last several months. And unemployment has really b...
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2024-07-01 14:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 15:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 06:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...