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When money is virtually free for borrowers and near-nil yielding for investors, many people do dumb stuff with money. But when rates rise sharply, the riskiest bets blow up, and investors get reminded that capital options are far from equal. Return of principal matters most in the...
According to the NBS last week, the Chinese CPI dropped 0.2% month-over-month. Compared to May 2021, the index has increased just 2.1%, the same year-over-year rate as April. Unlike what it looks from the perspective of US or European CPIs, there’s no mistaking the downturn acr...
The year-over-year change in core CPI peaked in March and is coming down, albeit slower than we’d all like to see. The economy is slowing in some areas and inflation is still high but probably peaking. Bond yields are starting to look pretty attractive relative to stock div...
The recent performance of the UST 10-Year yield has underscored the uncertainty that has apparently gripped the bond market. With the Fed’s aggressive use of quantitative easing (QE), one needs to take a deeper look at yield curves before drawing the same conclusions from the h...
It certainly has been an extraordinary period of weakness for the bond market with the most rapid rising yields that we’ve seen in decades. But the other side of the coin is that now that yields are at these higher levels, bonds represent a much more interesting investment oppo...
The common view is that you can't fight the Fed. History tells us that the common view is simply not true. The bond market is finally bottoming out over the coming months and should begin a major rally into 2023. For further details see: Sentiment Speaks: Big Bond Rally ...
The beginning of so-called quantitative tightening commences on Wednesday as the Fed lets bonds mature off its $9T balance sheet without replacement. It's a big step for a central bank that conducted unprecedented bond purchases from March 2020 to March 2022, which were intended to blunt the ...
Stocks had a ripsnorter of a rally last week and a lot of people are pondering the question in the title over this long weekend. Sentiment is certainly negative right now by several measures. Sentiment surveys (AAII, Investor’s Intelligence, etc.) are universally negative becau...
Monetary policy is meant to alter market behavior as the Fed tries to steer the economy toward its dual mandates of price stability and full employment. The stock market correction has been painful, and it may not be over. Avoiding pitfalls in fixed income is always important, eve...
Bond ETFs are typically passively managed, meaning they seek to track the performance of specific segments of the bond market. Bond ETFs tend to have low management fees, no loads and low transaction costs. These savings help contribute to investors keeping more of what they earn. ...
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2024-07-01 14:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 15:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 06:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...