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2023-10-20 04:30:00 ET Summary Rising inflation precedes recessions, and monetary policy actions are pro-cyclical rather than counter-cyclical. The combination of fiscal stimulus and monetary expansion has resulted in negative net national saving, which will impair economic growth...
2023-10-18 01:35:00 ET Summary Treasury yields across the curve rose to 20-year highs as the market assessed the possibility of the Fed leaving policy rates higher for longer. Credit posted mixed results, with higher risk sectors softening late in the period together with equities...
2023-10-13 14:05:00 ET Summary According to Moody’s, default rates are now sitting at 3% in Europe and 4.8% in the US. We expect to see a rise of 2.5% in Europe next year and just a 1.2% rise in the US. We have seen more defaults registered in the US thus far, and the lands...
2023-10-13 03:12:00 ET Summary For most non-profit investors, fixed income has a dual role of generating returns while managing risk. Some investors are considering making tactical tilts to their fixed income portfolios to take advantage of the current high-yield environment. ...
2023-10-12 12:01:00 ET Summary Tight monetary policy is slowing growth, but we see room to avoid a hard landing in the U.S. while Europe and China remain key risks on a global basis. In a higher-for-longer rate environment, shorter maturities offer opportunity, with potential for ...
2023-10-11 03:24:00 ET Summary Consumer spending has remained resilient to date; therefore, the timing of a recession has become unclear. Higher rates have made yield the beacon for bondholders and drawn stability-seeking investors toward investment-grade credit. Solid reserve...
2023-10-09 11:30:00 ET Summary Shifting supply-and-demand dynamics appear to be driving bond markets more than fundamentals, which makes for a bumpy ride. Through the fourth quarter of 2022, U.S. and global growth outlooks were becoming steadily more pessimistic. While short- ...
2023-10-04 07:42:00 ET Summary With yield curves still inverted, a short-dated high-yield strategy continues to make sense for return-seeking investors with a defensive mindset. US and euro high-yield spreads have tightened this year (by about 93 bps and 19 bps respectively), driv...
2023-10-03 04:06:00 ET Summary Despite compelling evidence that central banks have likely completed or nearly completed their hiking cycles, yields have continued to rise globally and are now at cyclical highs. Sustained higher interest rates are also likely to lead, eventually, t...
2023-09-22 10:08:17 ET More on First Trust Municipal High Income ETF Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on First Trust Municipal High Income ETF Dividend scorecard for First Trust Municipal High Income ETF First Trust Municipal High Income ETF declares monthly distr...
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2024-05-21 02:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 13:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 17:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...