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Many market pundits have advocated a strategy of “buying the dip” after significant selloffs, but does it always make sense to do so? Our analysis of asset performance following geopolitical events, alongside a deteriorating macro context, lead us to prefer a nimble and ...
Global growth uncertainty has accelerated, while inflation appears likely to persist. Still, we anticipate neither recession nor stagnation; moreover, central bank tightening expectations have likely peaked, potentially normalizing interest rate volatility and supporting spread sector...
As investors continue to digest the likely path of this tightening cycle, we think the dramatic moves of recent weeks are set to ease, laying a good foundation for credit investors. We now expect the Fed to hike rates by 50 basis points in both May and June, followed by a sequence of ...
The 10-year Treasury yield spiked to 2.72% on Friday, the highest since the February-December 2018 era. High Grade AA-rated corporate bond yields have been rising too, but since mid-March more slowly than the equivalent Treasury yield. Junk bond yields actually fell over the past ...
High-yield bonds have a reputation for volatility. High-yield bonds supply a consistent income stream that few other assets can match. High-yield bonds may experience some near-term volatility. For further details see: The One Metric All High-Yield Investors Should Know ...
Recent events have just added an additional inflationary impulse into an already high-inflation environment. Europe is somewhat elevated relative to the past but well below what we see in the US. So really, from an investor’s standpoint, this high-yield opportunity in credi...
Despite rising inflation and macroeconomic volatility, most sectors in non-investment grade credit concluded last year with solid credit fundamentals. We believe the strength of the U.S. consumer supported this pricing dynamic, with pandemic savings approximating $2 trillion. The ...
Follow the Money is a series of brief, information-rich posts that I will publish periodically but not on a fixed schedule. After rallying for 9 of the last 11 days, the S&P 500 went from down -13% to down just -3.4%. Growth has been hit hard by the slide in tech stocks this y...
The conflict will inevitably drive food prices higher. The European Central Bank announced an acceleration of its tapering program. Commodity markets may look very different than today, with potentially large changes in sources of production, as well as in transportation and refin...
Pick any barometer of costs these days, and the story is the same: Prices are up - and in a dramatic fashion. The first thing that jumps out is the dismal performance of most asset classes during periods of low growth and high inflation - otherwise known as stagflation. A solid fo...
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2024-07-31 17:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-21 02:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 13:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...