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Even as we see US rates making an orderly retracement away from record lows, we are struck by the angst this is causing many investors. In our view, rising interest rates should not of themselves be a cause for alarm. For equity investors, and especially those investing in value secto...
Last week, the latest US fiscal stimulus was signed into law, delivering $1.9 trillion of aid to a wide range of people and groups, as well as other non-COVID related spending. We know from the prior two COVID aid bills that direct aid can make a substantial economic impact. While...
In the early 1720s, exactly 300 years ago, all of England was overtaken by a surge of stock market speculation which we now know as the “South Sea Bubble”. Our belief is that all this speculation will end badly, as has been the case with all speculative bubbles, most rec...
For US Treasury investors, the starting place for inflation today is tough-there's not enough inflation-adjusted yield to cushion the pain. Treasury inflation-protected securities and similar inflation-linked bonds globally will outperform comparable-maturity Treasury bonds if inflati...
While unnerving, the late-February surge in global bond yields was a game-changer for equity market leadership, with important implications for navigating the road ahead. The rebound in financials dates from last November when vaccine breakthroughs stoked hopes for the global economy ...
The view of our investment strategy team is that global markets are moving to the old normal. The medium-term outlook for economies and earnings is positive, and the global economy is in the early post-recession recovery phase. The expected outperformance of non-U.S. equities over...
There is little to be worried about currently in the next four quarters' expected S&P 500 EPS and revenue growth. Energy, Health Care, Technology, and Utilities are the sectors that have seen downward pressure on their expected EPS growth rates. 2021 will likely have a very di...
"Our decision to close is in response to market forces," writes AJO founder and managing principle Ted Aronson."Our relative performance has suffered because our investment edge, our 'secret sauce,' is at odds with many forces driving the market."The longest drought in value on record, he say...
By Avi Lavi and James MacGregor The coronavirus crisis and recession have pummeled value stocks as investors shun riskier parts of the market. Yet these conditions have left some higher-quality companies trading at valuations that underestimate their ability to withstand shorter-term str...
Next week, readers will see the "quarterly bump" in the forward four-quarter estimate with the key metric expected to rise from $127.98 this week to the low $140 area as the forward estimate period will cover Q3 '20 through Q2 '21. Looking at the forward S&P 500 EPS curve , the revisi...
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2024-07-11 14:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-11 18:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 08:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...