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We think current cost-push inflation is poised to give way to a healthy, regenerative demand-pull environment, replete with moderate economic growth that is beneficial for the value companies in which we invest. History has shown moderate inflation can be good for value stocks. We con...
This excerpt from my October 2021 newsletter looks at value vs growth stocks, interest rates, and inflation. There is still a strong case for long-term energy sector outperformance, even though it'll occasionally take a break from a trading perspective. Rent and housing inflation ...
We noted in our quarterly letter that every brokerage house on the Street was bearish and telling its customers to expect stocks to move into a correction. We also reminded you that one of Reilly’s Rules is that when everyone expects something to happen something else usually does....
Bonds sold off again last week, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury closing over 1.6% for the first time since early June. But this rise in rates is at least a little different than the fall that preceded it. When nominal rates fell from April through July, real rates fell right al...
One of the big themes that we've seen the last few weeks is interest rates rising and value outperforming growth. Strategas' Todd Sohn examines the reemergence of cyclicality following an economic "growth scare." Todd breaks this down before taking us through some timely sector an...
The historic valuation gap between global Value and Growth stocks finally began its reversal. Despite pockets of outrageously overvalued Growth stocks being de-rated in Q1 and Q2, we still believe we are in a Growth bubble. Speculative behavior is rampant. We firmly believe that v...
With its expense ratio of 0.25%, which is quite thin for a smart-beta fund, FNDX has a portfolio with total net assets of $7.2 billion. The fund tracks the Russell RAFI US Large Company Index, a benchmark with a rather complex and thus beautiful methodology mindful of cash flows and l...
The rotation from growth to value is accelerating. The combination of higher inflation, lower US dollar, and higher yields could be lethal for momentum stocks. The Fed is way behind the curve, but we believe that Jay Powell will be forced to acknowledge reality soon. Meanwhile...
Are you familiar with the "Aggression Scale?" Instead of the common classifications, it's measuring sectors based on their volatility, cyclicality, and growth. Three sectors currently are making it to the top of the "Aggression Scale." Technology is only one of those. Can we be ov...
The NASDAQ gave us a hint about what it thinks of the bond market's sell-off when it tumbled from 14,095 to 12,609 over 16 sessions in February and March. Amid the NASDAQ's stumble, it would have been reasonable for the S&P 500 Value Index to have sold off in sympathy. Value s...
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2024-07-11 14:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-11 18:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 08:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...