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Looking at the relationship between the U.S. 10-year real yield and the S&P 500 Index forward price-to-earnings multiple going back to 2018, a -1.00% real yield implies a multiple of 23 times. Real yields and broader measures of the monetary policy environment are now back at pre-...
Numerous brokers, advisers, and portfolio managers have become much more cautious, led by customers worried about a recession this calendar year. While corporations are publicly maintaining bullish earnings views, shoppers and stores are reporting early signs of cutbacks, both in spen...
I believe we are in a bear market, because our economy is ruled by debt and interest rates. After eight declining weeks, markets gained last week and it looks like a bear market rally just started. Bear market rallies often last several weeks, so I am presuming a good week or two ...
Bear market rally or has a bottom been put in? Retail trading fervor has all but evaporated as liquidity exits markets. Job postings are down and the shift away from growth stocks persists. For further details see: Weekly S&P 500 ChartStorm - 29 May 2022
The Fed's announced tightening cycle and the inversion of some rate differentials has caused predictions of an impending recession. We check on several key economic metrics ("screws") that give advanced warning of recessions. Despite some weakness, the majority of economic "screws...
CPI surged to over 8% YoY and has been above the Fed's 2% target now for 15 months - yet the target policy rate is today at only 0.75% to 1.0%. If the Fed is determined to restrain inflationary expectations and regain lost institutional credibility, it is imperative to insulate its in...
Based on several recent reports, it appears the Fed may be achieving its goal of demand destruction. What’s more, even though inflation is still elevated, it appears to be moderating based on the latest data. On top of this, the market has been massacred over the last few m...
Long ideas for a long Memorial Day holiday weekend. U.S. stocks and their underlying earnings are running well ahead of trend. While U.S. Treasuries have also struggled, their outlook is improving. Innovative ways to gain exposure to more specialized areas of capital markets w...
Yesterday, the Census Bureau reported its advanced estimates for wholesale and retail inventories. There is a historic influx of actual goods on top of shipping bills, and it has been nonstop for retailers since October. For wholesalers, the inventory flood goes back a few more mo...
What does the latest economic data suggest about the pace of global growth? Key takeaways from the Fed meeting minutes. Our outlook on U.S. recession risks. For further details see: Is The Global Economic Expansion Decelerating?
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2024-03-08 19:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-09 18:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
First Trust Advisors L.P. ("FTA") announces the declaration of distributions for 135 exchange-traded fund(s) (each a “Fund,” collectively, the “Funds”) advised by FTA. The following dates apply to today's distribution declarations: FTA is a federally ...