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Spending on services rose in May, but spending on goods fell – all adjusted for inflation. Spending on durable goods continues to be handicapped by the ongoing shortage of new vehicles. “Real” spending on services rose by 0.3% in May from April, and by 4.7% ye...
After two weeks of sub-20% readings, the share of respondents to the AAII sentiment survey reporting as bullish has risen back up to 22.8% in the latest week. The percentage of respondents reporting as pessimists fell by 12.6 percentage points, bringing the reading back below 50%. But...
I looked at 72 years of market data back to 1950. 21 had negative 1st half returns. 51 had positive 1st half returns. What happened in the 2nd half of each group offers some clues about what we can expect in the coming 6 months. The market had a rough 1 st ...
Mass Political Disapproval across the developed world. Yesterday, an analyst named Jim Bianco was quoted in MarketWatch comparing current conditions to 1966. 5yr breakevens have dropped a Full 1% in the last three months – from 3.59% to 2.59%. Einstein once said, ...
Personal income rose 0.5 percent in May, according to data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Excluding personal transfer payments, personal income rose 0.7 percent in May and is up 8.3 percent over the latest 12-month period. The fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine an...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance fell 2,000 for the week ending June 25, coming in at 231,000. The number of ongoing claims for state unemployment programs totaled 1.286 million for the week ending June 11, a rise of 17,836 from the prior week. Labor shortag...
Seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims came in at 231K which was ever so slightly above expectations of 230K. The four-week rolling standard deviation in claims has fallen below 1 for only the seventh time on record going back to 1967. In the most recent week’s data thr...
The recent unusually large swing in household wealth is not getting the attention it deserves as another recession risk. According to the St. Louis Federal Reserve, largely as a result of surging equity and home prices, household wealth increased from $116 trillion at the end of 2019 ...
Data released in June showed that annual headline CPI inflation - previously thought to be cooling - had touched a new 40-year high. Substantial rate hikes are possible as the Fed remains focused on stabilizing prices; however, in the process, a recession may become unavoidable. W...
Judging by every other opinion, the US looks like it’s headed into a recession. Jobless claims have risen to 230,000 from March ’22’s low of 166,000 with the difference of 66,000 being a 38% jump in jobless claims since mid-March. If the S&P 500 can hold t...
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2024-03-08 19:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-09 18:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
First Trust Advisors L.P. ("FTA") announces the declaration of distributions for 135 exchange-traded fund(s) (each a “Fund,” collectively, the “Funds”) advised by FTA. The following dates apply to today's distribution declarations: FTA is a federally ...