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The rotation from growth to value is accelerating. The combination of higher inflation, lower US dollar, and higher yields could be lethal for momentum stocks. The Fed is way behind the curve, but we believe that Jay Powell will be forced to acknowledge reality soon. Meanwhile...
Many people are thinking that last Friday's employment report points to a more accommodative Fed. Perhaps, but only if you think very short term. Many people are thinking that a more accommodative Fed is good news for growth stocks. Sure, but only if you think very short term. ...
The US private sector exhibited the strongest expansion on record in April, supported by faster growth in both manufacturing and service sectors. Amongst the US sectors surveyed, the consumer service sector also saw the largest improvement in growth momentum. Private sector firms ...
A blowout earnings quarter for big tech. So why are their stocks falling? Will big tech continue to drive markets? Outlook for Tech Big 5. For further details see: Big Tech Scores A Record-Breaking Quarter: So Why Are Stock Prices Tanking?
Diversification remains key. Flexible strategies can also take advantage of a more uncertain yield and spread environment. We continue to find reasonable opportunity in both public and private credit markets. We find value in non-agency mortgages and prefer cyclicals to growth sto...
Are you familiar with the "Aggression Scale?" Instead of the common classifications, it's measuring sectors based on their volatility, cyclicality, and growth. Three sectors currently are making it to the top of the "Aggression Scale." Technology is only one of those. Can we be ov...
The biggest tech platforms have been on a tear in the last few years, accelerating into warp-speed growth in both earnings and share prices since the beginning of the pandemic a year ago. Despite having their own business models, in general, these companies have capitalized on a handf...
Many US technology companies use stock compensation to help align workers' performance with shareholder interests. But stock-based compensation also creates accounting distortions that add risks to unwitting investors-especially as growth company valuations face increased scrutiny tod...
Since U.S. Treasury bonds have fallen more than -20% in value, it looks like we might've seen a short-term bottom and an opportunity to profit in the bond market. Which sectors are performing well in the intermediate term, as well as those that are taking a breather in the short term....
One of my many favorite tools to use when analyzing the markets is a Relative Rotation Graph (or “RRG”). I’m going to focus on using RRG to explain what’s happening under the surface in the market today. You can put any benchmark in the middle, at the z...
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There have been record numbers of new investors entering the market in the past two years, fueled by a variety of factors, not least of which is the greater ease and lower cost of doing so. According to a recent survey by Investing.com, 86% of new investors in 2021 plan to increase thei...
College is not cheap, as Iʻm experiencing firsthand at the moment. But one thing that has made the payments a lot more manageable is the fact that I started investing a long time ago, specifically for college, when the kids were wee ones. It doesnʻt take a huge initial investm...
The technology sector has been the most impressive part of the stock market for some time now -- certainly over the past decade as it provided the propulsion for the longest bull market in U.S. history. How things will play out over the next 10 years is impossible to know, but experts expec...