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The combination of a less-than-feared interest rate hike and two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth sparked a strong rally in US equities and other risk assets. Indeed, as July gave way to August, a surprisingly strong jobs report and lower-than-expected CPI numbers made...
The latest inflation numbers for the US suggest that the recent surge in pricing pressure has peaked, maybe. The bigger risk is that consumer inflation remains elevated. The good news: CPI is showing mild signs of peaking after the release of numbers for July. The bottom line: the...
Month-over-month changes in inflation can be misleading. Prices remain elevated even if month-over-month inflation remains unchanged for several months. Above a certain level of inflation, it is difficult to "conceal" this monetary phenomenon. A recession may not be enough to ...
A surprisingly controversial debate broke out in recent days when Joe Biden said there was no inflation. He was, of course, referring to the month over month reading which showed a slight decline in prices. The BLS measures inflation on a monthly basis and while the 12-month year-over...
Latest CPI might help sentiment, but inflation is still a problem. Why shelter inflation is creating a more complicated fight for the Fed. Softer CPI could mean the Fed avoids another jumbo rate hike, but rates are still going up. U.S. inflation data for July...
The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for July came in nearly flat at -0.03%. This was on the heels of a blisteringly hot June number of 1.35%. While inflation did surprise to the downside, it had been expected to be much lower due to the fall in oil and drop in gasoline price...
A slowdown in US CPI casts doubt about data, and the Fed’s, ability to move long-end rates. Meanwhile, market fundamentals are improving. We see 10Y US yields converging to 2% in 1Q 2023. By Antoine Bouvet , Benjamin Schroeder , Padhraic Garvey, CFA ...
The global business climate is deteriorating in mid-2022, putting forecasters on recession watch. Real global GDP is likely to have declined in the second quarter of 2022, pulled down by contractions in emerging Europe, mainland China, and the United States. Adverse financial cond...
As expected, U.S. inflation - both headline and core - moderated in July, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The July report showed U.S. core CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month (m/m) - softer than consensus expectations of 0.5% m/m. Short-term inflation expe...
Persistent inflation and price volatility create uncertainty for investors and business leaders. Reasons to believe inflation will moderate include declining commodity prices, stabilizing money supply, and the resolution of supply chain issues. The tight labor market will continue...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...