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Spending shifts slowly back to services. But spending on goods still massively above trend, despite supply shortages. Spending on durable goods continues to be handicapped by large-scale supply issues, particularly with new vehicles, where global production continues to get hit by sem...
Pick any barometer of costs these days, and the story is the same: Prices are up - and in a dramatic fashion. The first thing that jumps out is the dismal performance of most asset classes during periods of low growth and high inflation - otherwise known as stagflation. A solid fo...
The West is responding to Russia's invasion of Ukraine by weaning itself off Russian energy. Europe will have an acute need for more fossil fuels from outside Russia to meet its energy demands and achieve its ambitious plans to reduce its reliance on Russia. By spurring the transi...
Rising prices are always caused by more units of currency being directed to scarce or tangible assets. The Ukraine war has created another excuse to blame inflation on oil and natural gas. More units of currency are going to scarce assets as investors look for protection against i...
A confluence of negative factors set U.S. stocks up for a difficult start to 2022. However, we see both a short- and longer-term opportunity taking shape. Intraday market volatility has been dramatic and stock selling has become indiscriminate, as is often the case in big market swing...
As a monetary phenomenon, inflation is an expansion in the supply of money. The CPI dramatically understates inflation through various techniques. The yield curve has inverted as the bond market sniffs a recession. The TIPS spread is not anywhere near wide enough to entice investors t...
Market opinion about the balance of risks was transformed back in October, which not coincidentally happened to be when the flood of inventory began showing up. Neither the more pessimistic curved stance nor the buildup of inventory has changed since. From October 2021 inventories hav...
Our Federal Reserve has a trajectory of rate hikes but remains cautiously “data driven.”. The financial war is unfolding every day with new information, so outcomes are difficult to predict, and unintended consequences loom as a risk every day. Bloomberg reports that...
We believe that the Cybersecurity theme can help manage geopolitical risk in a portfolio, as well as idiosyncratic risk linked to companies’ product and supply chain weaknesses. We expect equity markets to be supported by negative real yields as high inflation persists. The...
We now prefer U.S. and Japanese equities over European stocks due to the energy shock. We stay underweight bonds because of the inflationary backdrop. Bond yields sprinted higher last week, with U.S. 10-year Treasuries hitting near three-year highs. Signs of weakening economic activit...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...