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The rhythm of the markets has gradually, but permanently, changed over the last 40 years. Despite the (relatively) positive trend in reopening sectors of the economy, the labor market is showing signs of slowing. For now, inflation is the “singular mandate” of major ...
We expect elevated inflation to continue into 2023 due to the lagged impact of food supply disruption and elevated energy costs. Should a recession occur, its scale is likely to be limited by the reduced number of negative feedback loops. Consumers enter this slowdown with a large...
Since they started raising rates late last year the Fed has $540B of unrealized losses. How problematic is this? Just like the Fed’s unrealized losses, the losses you’ve incurred in high quality bonds are just temporary. There’s been a lot of political banter ...
We remain cautious in equities, but in fixed income, investors now have more yield and credit spread to work with. We think that the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes for this cycle are becoming increasingly priced into the yield curve. Our fixed income team has stress-tested fo...
Growth concerns, inflation and volatility fueled the debate at our Outlook Forum over why we’re entering a new macro and market regime and what that means. Poor activity data reinforced slowdown fears, resulting in falling yields and rising stocks last week. Persistent UK infla...
Markets traded last week as if inflation fear has peaked. The move in cash bond yields really don’t do the shift justice, with the trend still firmly up. Rates futures, however, tell a more interesting story. The Dec-23-Dec-22 curve in the US is now inverted by a whopping 40bp,...
With a 75-basis point rate hike at its June 15 meeting, the Fed intended to send a very clear message to markets: it is serious about bringing inflation down. In the aggressive tightening scenario, we think the Fed will front-load interest rate increases - aiming for a higher terminal...
Federal Reserve wants to hit the brakes, a 180-degree reversal from the recent two-year effort to turbo-stimulate the U.S. economy. USD's strength since early last year has defied a widening trade deficit, historic negative real interest rates, and growing anxiety that weaponizing the...
Growth is slowing, but it’s slowing to trend at this point. So not to zero, not to negative, but something like the trend that we’ve experienced over the last couple of decades. So, if you’re looking for a great way to play inflation, look to the small cap asset c...
When pricing pressure finally ebbs, the pressure on rate hikes and the headwinds for the economy will ease, if only on the margins. The Fed’s increasingly aggressive rate hikes, combined with a sharp slowing in money-supply growth offer reasons for hope. There’s stil...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...