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At the G7 meeting last week, the group agreed on banning Russian gold imports, while working on a mechanism to cap the price of Russian crude oil. Essentially, the G7 is trying to create a “buyer’s cartel” to set a cap on the price of Russian crude oil. After U.S....
While the Fed forecasts tend to help market participants understand the future course of policy, they should also be looked at with a dose of skepticism. The projections are as much a product of econometric models as they are an attempt for the Fed to guide the markets (and economy) i...
Once the COVID distortions are over the economy will return to its previous state of roughly 2% growth and 2% inflation. Real sales of durable goods surged throughout COVID but accelerated rapidly with stimulus payments; sales peaked right as Biden’s American Rescue Act was imp...
So when there is a substantial nominal shock (e.g., a surge in the money supply) which in a frictionless, classical world would not affect relative prices, some prices adjust more rapidly than others. First, I expect to see a substantial surge in labor disputes as real wages (i.e., th...
The Fed is pretty good at inducing a recession. Inducing recessions is not particularly effective at lowering inflation. Perhaps counting on the Fed to stop inflation all by itself is not such a great idea. So if the Fed raises interest rates, how much and how soon will ...
Analysts are still forecasting 2022 earnings to grow by more than 10 percent, higher today than their consensus estimates back in March. Already we are getting a preview of how the second quarter earnings season, which officially gets underway late next week, is going to shape up in t...
In October 2021, 2-year U.S. treasury yields were at .26% and six months later moved up to a high near 3.4%. In addition, 10-year U.S. treasury yields rose from 1.4% to 3.4% in the same time period. The rise in real yields has been quite dramatic and that has to have an impact in ...
Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, has remained steady. The change in the Fed’s stance on inflation is evident in bond markets. Consumers should expect inflation to remain high throughout the rest of the year. By William J. Luther With ...
While everyone is focused on inflation, it is becoming increasingly clear that we’re on the cusp of deflation in everything but necessities such as food and energy. How do we know deflation is coming? We only have to look at soaring inventory-to-sales data from major retailers ...
Back in January, I said inflation had peaked. This morning’s Core PCE data seals the deal for me – it looks like inflation peaked in February. Another big theme of mine in recent years was that the Fed was behind the curve both ways. So, defining inflation as an incr...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...